- Memphis is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Troy
- Memphis vs. Troy Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
Memphis (2-0) visit Veterans Memorial Stadium to take on Troy (1-1) on Sep. 13 in Troy, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Memphis is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).
The Memphis vs. Troy Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Memphis vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Memphis | -3.5 -115 | 51.5 -115 | -185 |
| Troy | +3.5 -105 | 51.5 -105 | 150 |
Memphis vs Troy Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 62.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Memphis and Troy, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Memphis vs Troy Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Memphis Best Bets Today
- Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Memphis have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Memphis have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)
Troy Best Bets Today
- Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+18.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+6.15 Units / 78% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Memphis is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Memphis is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 4.35% ROI
- Memphis is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.15 Units / -100% ROI
- Memphis is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 88.89% ROI
Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Troy iss 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Troy is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Troy is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Troy is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. Troy
Memphis was 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526
Memphis is 8-1 (.889) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Memphis was 10-1 (.909) when not losing a fumble last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533
Memphis was 9-1 (.900) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis
Troy is winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .386
Troy is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .403
Troy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382
Troy was winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Matchup Notes for Memphis vs. Troy
Troy’s RBs has rushed for 1,952 yards on 358 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Memphis’s defense have allowed just 3.7 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Troy’s RBs has averaged 10.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS RBs. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 5.2 RAC to RBs since the 2024 season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
Troy’s RBs has 23 receptions in 14 games (just 1.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-7th-worst among FBS RBs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Memphis’s RBs has averaged 6.7 targets per game since the 2024 season — T-11th-highest among FBS RBs. Troy’s defense has allowed 3.8 receptions per game to RBs since the 2024 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Memphis’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS WRs. Troy’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Memphis’s RBs has 0.5 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — T-best among FBS RBs. Troy’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends
Memphis QBs have 23 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2024 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Memphis QBs had 20 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Memphis RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Memphis RBs caught 6 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among FBS Teams
Memphis RBs picked up first downs on 14 receptions on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends
Troy’s RBs has rushed for 1,952 yards on 358 carries (5.5 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Memphis’s defense have allowed just 3.7 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Troy WRs have averaged just 8.0 receptions per game (8/1) this season– T-25th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7
Troy RBs have averaged 218.0 rushing yards per game (218/1) this season– 14th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 128.8
Troy RBs averaged 18.8 yards per target (94 yards/5 targets) on 3rd down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.0
Troy RBs have averaged 6.4 Yards per Carry (218 yards/34 carries) this season– 28th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends
Memphis has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (2/1) this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 0.71
Memphis has allowed 89.8 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 152.4
Memphis tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 366 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) last season– 17th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Memphis allowed 28.2 carries per game (366 carries / 13 games) last season– 2nd-lowest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.3
Memphis allowed 28.2 carries per game (366 carries / 13 games) last season– 2nd-lowest in FBS; Average: 35.8
Troy Defensive Stats & Trends
Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Troy allowed 2.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (197 yards / 88 touches) in the Red Zone last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 3.7
Troy has allowed a Completion Pct of 78% (21 completions/27 attempts) this season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 60%
Troy sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Troy allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%
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