Memphis vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Gasparilla Bowl

• NC State is a -6 point favorite vs. Memphis
• Memphis vs. North Carolina State Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN

Memphis (8-4) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on North Carolina State (7-5) on Dec. 19 in Tampa, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EST.

NC State is a betting favorite in the Gasparilla Bowl, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Memphis vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

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Memphis vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Memphis vs North Carolina State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win the Gasparilla Bowl with 65.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Memphis and NC State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Memphis vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Memphis Best Bets Today

• Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
• Memphis have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• Memphis has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.00 Units / 6% ROI)
• Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)

North Carolina State Best Bets Today

• NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.40 Units / 9% ROI)
• NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.47 Units / 20% ROI)
• NC State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• NC State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Memphis is 8-4 against the spread this college football season (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI).

• Memphis is 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -12.13% ROI
• Memphis is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.55 Units / -4.18% ROI
• Memphis is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.53% ROI

North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

NC State iss 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.55 Units / -4.2% ROI).

• North Carolina State is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.93% ROI
• North Carolina State is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
• North Carolina State is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State

Memphis was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643

Memphis is 8-3 (.727) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .587

Memphis was 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Memphis was 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .604

North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

North Carolina State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Matchup Notes for Memphis vs. North Carolina State

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

North Carolina State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Memphis was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643

Memphis is 8-3 (.727) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .587

Memphis was 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Memphis was 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .604

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends

Memphis was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643

Memphis is 8-3 (.727) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .587

Memphis was 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Memphis was 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .604

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

North Carolina State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends

Memphis was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643

Memphis is 8-3 (.727) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .587

Memphis was 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Memphis was 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .604

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

North Carolina State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442

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