Memphis vs East Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 12

  • East Carolina is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Memphis
  • Memphis vs. East Carolina Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

Memphis (8-2) visit Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium to take on East Carolina (6-3) on Nov. 15 in Greenville, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.

East Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Memphis vs. East Carolina Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

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Memphis vs. East Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Memphis+2.5 -10559.5 -115120
East Carolina -2.5 -11559.5 -105-145

Memphis vs East Carolina Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Mempish will win this game with 52.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Memphis and East Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • Memphis have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 6% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)

Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Memphis is 8-2 against the spread this college football season (+5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • Memphis is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -9.55% ROI
  • Memphis is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.45 Units / -4.11% ROI
  • Memphis is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.52% ROI

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina iss 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI).

  • East Carolina is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 2.95% ROI
  • East Carolina is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • East Carolina is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 66 of 271 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 66 of 271 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 39 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 39 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 114 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis

East Carolina was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

East Carolina was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632

East Carolina is 13-3 (.812) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .606

East Carolina is 5-1 (.833) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .601

Matchup Notes for Memphis vs. East Carolina

East Carolina was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

East Carolina was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632

East Carolina is 13-3 (.812) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .606

East Carolina is 5-1 (.833) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .601

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 66 of 271 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 66 of 271 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 39 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 39 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 114 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 66 of 271 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 66 of 271 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 39 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 39 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 114 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

East Carolina was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632

East Carolina is 13-3 (.812) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .606

East Carolina is 5-1 (.833) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .601

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 66 of 271 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 66 of 271 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 39 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 39 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 114 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

East Carolina was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632

East Carolina is 13-3 (.812) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .606

East Carolina is 5-1 (.833) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .601


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