- Iowa is a -35.5 point favorite vs. Massachusetts
- Massachusetts vs. Iowa Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
Massachusetts (0-2) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on Iowa (1-1) on Sep. 13 in Iowa City, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -35.5 (-105).
The Massachusetts vs. Iowa Over/Under is 42.5 total points.
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Massachusetts vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Massachusetts | 35.5 -115 | 42.5 -105 | |
| Iowa | -35.5 -105 | 42.5 -115 |
Massachusetts vs Iowa Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 71.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Massachusetts and Iowa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Massachusetts vs Iowa Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Massachusetts Best Bets Today
- Massachusetts has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Massachusetts have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Iowa Best Bets Today
- Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Massachusetts is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Massachusetts is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -100% ROI
- Massachusetts is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Massachusetts is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa iss 0-0 against the spread this college football season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- Iowa is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Iowa is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Iowa is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Massachusetts: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa
UMass was winless (0-4) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481
UMass was winless (0-8) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .454
UMass was winless (0-9) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .372
UMass is 1-12 (.077) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Massachusetts
Iowa is 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .456
Iowa is 3-6 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .606
Iowa was 5-1 (.833) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .628
Iowa is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .646
Matchup Notes for Massachusetts vs. Iowa
Iowa’s WRs has 83 receptions in 15 games (just 5.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among FBS WRs. UMass’s defense has allowed just 14.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Iowa has averaged just 9.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. UMass’s defense has allowed 13.6 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Iowa’s WRs has 83 receptions in 15 games (just 5.5 per game) since the 2024 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. UMass’s defense has allowed just 14.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
UMass’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 4.2% of 72 attempts this season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
UMass’s WRs has gained 394 yards on 36 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
UMass’s WRs has gained 394 yards on 36 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Massachusetts Offensive Stats & Trends
UMass’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 4.2% of 72 attempts this season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
UMass’s WRs has gained 394 yards on 36 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
UMass’s WRs has gained 394 yards on 36 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
UMass Skill Players have no touchdowns on 25 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
UMass RBs have averaged 14.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (84 yards / 6 touches) on 2nd down this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa TEs have just one touchdown on 63 receptions since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.9
Iowa WRs have averaged just 4.0 receptions per game (4/1) this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.9
Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 5.3 yards per reception (48 yards/9 catches) this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0
Iowa WRs averaged just 5.5 receptions per game (71/13) last season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
Iowa WRs averaged just 5.5 receptions per game (71/13) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.6
Massachusetts Defensive Stats & Trends
UMass has allowed 6 TD passes this season– most in FBS
UMass has allowed 6 TD passes this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
UMass allowed passes of 20+ yards on 50 of 285 attempts (17%) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 10%
UMass has not recorded a sack (29 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4
UMass has allowed first downs on 55% of pass attempts this season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 29%
Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa has not recorded a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.3
Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.5
Iowa did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.3
Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6
Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 26
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