- Wisconsin is a -10 point favorite vs. Maryland
- Maryland vs. Wisconsin Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: NBC | PEAC
Maryland (3-0) visit Camp Randall Stadium to take on Wisconsin (2-1) on Sep. 20 in Madison, WI. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Wisconsin is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).
The Maryland vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
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Maryland vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Maryland | +10 -110 | 43.5 -105 | 300 |
| Wisconsin | -10 -110 | 43.5 -115 | -375 |
Maryland vs Wisconsin Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 73.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Maryland and Wisconsin, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Maryland vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Maryland Best Bets Today
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+0.85 Units / 4% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
Wisconsin Best Bets Today
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 81% ROI)
- Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Maryland is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 4.82% ROI
- Maryland is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Maryland is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wisconsin iss 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Wisconsin is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.65% ROI
- Wisconsin is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Wisconsin is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin
Maryland was 1-7 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459
Maryland was 2-8 (.200) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Maryland was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Maryland was 1-7 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498
Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Wisconsin is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
Wisconsin was 1-6 (.143) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451
Matchup Notes for Maryland vs. Wisconsin
Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 76 attempts this season — T-29th-worst among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin has 260 receptions in 15 games (just 17.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 20.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin has gained 588 yards on 52 receptions (just 11.3 YPR) this season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland has 382 receptions in 15 games (25.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among FBS skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland has 382 receptions in 15 games (25.5 per game) since the 2024 season — best among Big Ten skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland has 382 receptions in 15 games (25.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Power 5 skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends
Maryland has 382 receptions in 15 games (25.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among FBS skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland has 382 receptions in 15 games (25.5 per game) since the 2024 season — best among Big Ten skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland has 382 receptions in 15 games (25.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Power 5 skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s WRs has 248 receptions in 15 games (16.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 16th-best among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland has 382 receptions in 15 games (25.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among FBS skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin WRs have averaged 29.0 yards per reception (116 yards/4 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.1
Wisconsin WRs have averaged 27.0 yards per reception (81 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.8
Wisconsin Skill Players averaged 21.5 yards per reception (86 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.5
Wisconsin WRs averaged 24.7 yards per reception (222 yards/9 catches) in short yardage situations last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7
Wisconsin’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 76 attempts this season — T-29th-worst among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends
Maryland has 7 interceptions this season– most in FBS
Maryland allowed first downs on 41% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 22%
Maryland has averaged 2.33 interceptions per game (7/3) this season– best in FBS; Average: 0.78
Maryland averaged a sack every 25.5 pass attempts (383 Pass Attempts/15 Sacks) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.2
Maryland has averaged 2.33 interceptions per game (7/3) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.82
Wisconsin Defensive Stats & Trends
Wisconsin allowed passes of 40+ yards on 3 of 30 attempts (10%) last week– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 2%
Wisconsin allowed 4 TD passes last week– most in the Big Ten
Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 36.1
Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9
Wisconsin allowed 4 TD passes last week– T-most among Power Conference Teams
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