Maryland vs Rutgers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

Rutgers head coach Greg Schiano watches from the sideline during the second half of a NCAA college football game against Ohio State, Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023, in Piscataway, N.J. Ohio State won 35-16. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
  • Maryland is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Rutgers
  • Maryland vs. Rutgers Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

Maryland (4-4) visit SHI Stadium to take on Rutgers (4-5) on Nov. 8 in Piscataway, NJ. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EST.

Maryland is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-102).

The Maryland vs. Rutgers Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

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Maryland vs. Rutgers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Maryland-1.5 -10258.5 -110-110
Rutgers +1.5 -11858.5 -110-110

Maryland vs Rutgers Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Maryland will win this game with 51.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Maryland and Rutgers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Maryland vs Rutgers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+10.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • Maryland is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 3.2% ROI
  • Maryland is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Maryland is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers iss 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.05% ROI).

  • Rutgers is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -9.34% ROI
  • Rutgers is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 28.87% ROI
  • Rutgers is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -36.63% ROI

Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Rutgers was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Rutgers was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .446

Rutgers is 10-8 (.556) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .435

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

Rutgers has allowed 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,407 yards / 371 touches) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 6.4

Rutgers has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 32 of 209 attempts (15%) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 8%

Rutgers has allowed 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,407 yards / 371 touches) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 6.5

Rutgers has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 19 of their 232 carries (8%) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 3%

Rutgers has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 39 of their 638 carries (6%) since the 2024 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 3%

Matchup Notes for Maryland vs. Rutgers

Rutgers has allowed 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,407 yards / 371 touches) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 6.4

Rutgers has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 32 of 209 attempts (15%) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 8%

Rutgers has allowed 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,407 yards / 371 touches) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 6.5

Rutgers has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 19 of their 232 carries (8%) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 3%

Rutgers has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 39 of their 638 carries (6%) since the 2024 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 3%

Rutgers was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Rutgers was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .446

Rutgers is 10-8 (.556) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .435

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Rutgers was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .446

Rutgers is 10-8 (.556) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .435

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers has allowed 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,407 yards / 371 touches) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 6.4

Rutgers has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 32 of 209 attempts (15%) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 8%

Rutgers has allowed 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,407 yards / 371 touches) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 6.5

Rutgers has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 19 of their 232 carries (8%) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 3%

Rutgers has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 39 of their 638 carries (6%) since the 2024 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 3%

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Rutgers was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .446

Rutgers is 10-8 (.556) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .435

Rutgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers has allowed 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,407 yards / 371 touches) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 6.4

Rutgers has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 32 of 209 attempts (15%) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 8%

Rutgers has allowed 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,407 yards / 371 touches) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 6.5

Rutgers has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 19 of their 232 carries (8%) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 3%

Rutgers has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 39 of their 638 carries (6%) since the 2024 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 3%


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