- Illinois is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Maryland
- Maryland vs. Illinois Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
Maryland (4-5) visit Gies Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) to take on Illinois (6-3) on Nov. 15 in Champaign, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).
The Maryland vs. Illinois Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Maryland vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Maryland | +14.5 -105 | 53.5 -115 | 500 |
| Illinois | -14.5 -115 | 53.5 -105 | -700 |
Maryland vs Illinois Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 78.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Maryland and Illinois, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Maryland vs Illinois Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Maryland Best Bets Today
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Illinois Best Bets Today
- Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.65 Units / 7% ROI)
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
- Maryland is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 1.69% ROI
- Maryland is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Maryland is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Illinois iss 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.55% ROI).
- Illinois is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 5.18% ROI
- Illinois is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
- Illinois is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois
Illinois is 8-1 (.889) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .509
Illinois was 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .604
Illinois was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Illinois was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland
Illinois has allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Illinois has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.7
Illinois has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 8.9
Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (24 completions/30 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Illinois has intercepted 2 of 269 attempts (134.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.2
Matchup Notes for Maryland vs. Illinois
Illinois has allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Illinois has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.7
Illinois has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 8.9
Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (24 completions/30 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Illinois has intercepted 2 of 269 attempts (134.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.2
Illinois is 8-1 (.889) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .509
Illinois was 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .604
Illinois was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Illinois was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends
Illinois is 8-1 (.889) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .509
Illinois was 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .604
Illinois was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Illinois was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Illinois has allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Illinois has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.7
Illinois has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 8.9
Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (24 completions/30 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Illinois has intercepted 2 of 269 attempts (134.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.2
Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends
Illinois is 8-1 (.889) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .509
Illinois was 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .604
Illinois was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Illinois was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends
Illinois has allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Illinois has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.7
Illinois has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 8.9
Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (24 completions/30 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Illinois has intercepted 2 of 269 attempts (134.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.2
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