Louisville vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

• SMU is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Louisville
• Louisville vs. SMU Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN2

Louisville (7-3) visit Gerald J. Ford Stadium to take on SMU (7-3) on Nov. 22 in Dallas, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

SMU is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Louisville vs. SMU Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Louisville vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Louisville vs SMU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 58.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisville and SMU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Louisville vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Louisville Best Bets Today

• Louisville has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+7.40 Units / 80% ROI)
• Louisville have covered the Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
• Louisville has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
• Louisville has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 56% ROI)
• Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)

SMU Best Bets Today

• SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 59% ROI)
• SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 47% ROI)
• SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• SMU has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.20 Units / 4% ROI)
• SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.95 Units / 4% ROI)

Louisville Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisville is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).

• Louisville is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -3.47% ROI
• Louisville is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Louisville is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

SMU iss 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

• SMU is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 5.17% ROI
• SMU is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
• SMU is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Louisville: Keys to the Game vs. SMU

Louisville has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 317 attempts (1%) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 2%

Louisville has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 317 attempts (1%) this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Louisville has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (8 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 64%

Louisville tackled opponents for a loss on 82 of 464 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) last season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Louisville has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 50 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

SMU: Keys to the Game vs. Louisville

Louisville was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Louisville was 8-4 (.667) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Louisville was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Louisville was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Matchup Notes for Louisville vs. SMU

Louisville was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Louisville was 8-4 (.667) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Louisville was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Louisville was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Louisville has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 317 attempts (1%) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 2%

Louisville has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 317 attempts (1%) this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Louisville has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (8 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 64%

Louisville tackled opponents for a loss on 82 of 464 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) last season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Louisville has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 50 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisville has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 317 attempts (1%) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 2%

Louisville has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 317 attempts (1%) this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Louisville has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (8 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 64%

Louisville tackled opponents for a loss on 82 of 464 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) last season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Louisville has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 50 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisville was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Louisville was 8-4 (.667) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Louisville was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Louisville was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisville has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 317 attempts (1%) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 2%

Louisville has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 317 attempts (1%) this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Louisville has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (8 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 64%

Louisville tackled opponents for a loss on 82 of 464 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) last season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Louisville has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 50 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisville was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Louisville was 8-4 (.667) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Louisville was 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Louisville was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .668

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