Louisiana Tech vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

LSU head coach Brian Kelly argues a call during the third quarter of an NCAA college football game against Missouri, Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023, in Columbia, Mo. LSU won 49-39. (AP Photo/L.G. Patterson)
(AP Photo/L.G. Patterson)
  • LSU is a -37.5 point favorite vs. Louisiana Tech
  • Louisiana Tech vs. LSU Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Louisiana Tech (1-0) visit Tiger Stadium to take on LSU (1-0) on Sep. 6 in Baton Rouge, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

LSU is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -37.5 (-110).

The Louisiana Tech vs. LSU Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Louisiana Tech vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisiana Tech+37.5 -11051.5 -115+
LSU -37.5 -11051.5 -105+

Louisiana Tech vs LSU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana Tech will win this game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisiana Tech and LSU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Louisiana Tech vs LSU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 62.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+8.40 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.20 Units / 52% ROI)
  • LSU have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)

Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana Tech is 0-0 against the spread this college football season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • Louisiana Tech is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 0-0 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 0-0 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

LSU iss 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • LSU is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 175% ROI
  • LSU is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • LSU is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. LSU

Louisiana Tech was winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points in the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259

Louisiana Tech was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2024 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .392

Louisiana Tech was 1-6 (.143) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2024 season– 8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .461

Louisiana Tech was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2024 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech

LSU was undefeated (5-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .692

LSU was undefeated (5-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .670

LSU was 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

LSU was 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .633

Matchup Notes for Louisiana Tech vs. LSU

Garrett Nussmeier (LSU) has averaged 6.1 YPA on 38 pass attempts this season — T-10th-worst of Qualified Power 5 Quarterbacks. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 4.7 YPA this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech has averaged just 9.0 yards after the catch this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech has averaged just 9.0 yards after the catch this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.

Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana Tech QBs had 16 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down in the 2024 season– T-5th-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana Tech WRs have averaged just 6.2 yards per reception (50 yards/8 catches) this season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

Louisiana Tech has averaged just 9.0 yards after the catch this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech WRs fumbled 8 times in the 2024 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends

LSU TEs have been targeted 8 times on 1st down this season– T-most among FBS Teams

LSU TEs have been targeted 8 times on 1st down this season– most among Power Conference Teams

LSU Skill Players were targeted 19.3 times per game (232/12) in the 2nd half in the 2024 season– highest among SEC Teams; Average: 13.1

LSU TEs have been targeted 11.0 times per game (11/1) this season– highest among SEC Teams; Average: 6.4

LSU TEs averaged 5.7 receptions per game (68/12) in the 2024 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 3.8

Louisiana Tech Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech opponents averaged 7.7 Passing Attempts per TD (23 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Louisiana Tech has not recorded a sack (26 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9

Louisiana Tech opponents averaged 33.3 Passing Attempts per TD (366 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.3

Louisiana Tech opponents averaged 7.7 Passing Attempts per TD (23 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Louisiana Tech allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (8 completions/23 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 54%

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends

LSU has allowed 20 rushing TDs on just 57 carries (2.8 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 5.1

LSU allowed 4.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (268 yards / 56 touches) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 3.4

LSU allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (6 completions/17 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 54%

LSU intercepted 5 of 328 attempts (65.6 pass attempts per int.) in the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 34.1

LSU allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (38 completions/51 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 55%


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