Liberty vs Old Dominion Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

Old Dominion coach Ricky Rahne reacts after being doused, next to defensive tackle Denzel Lowry (45) after the team's win over Virginia Tech in an NCAA college football game Friday, Sept. 2, 2022, in Norfolk, Va. (AP Photo/Mike Caudill)
(AP Photo/Mike Caudill)
  • Old Dominion is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Liberty
  • Liberty vs. Old Dominion Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Liberty (1-3) visit Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium to take on Old Dominion (2-1) on Sep. 27 in Norfolk, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT.

Old Dominion is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The Liberty vs. Old Dominion Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Liberty vs. Old Dominion Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Liberty+16.5 -11051.5 -115550
Old Dominion -16.5 -11051.5 -105-800

Liberty vs Old Dominion Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Old Dominion will win this game with 82.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Liberty and Old Dominion, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Liberty vs Old Dominion Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Old Dominion have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Old Dominion have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.20 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.55 Units / 55% ROI)

Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Liberty is 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Liberty is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -9.79% ROI
  • Liberty is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Liberty is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Old Dominion Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Old Dominion iss 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Old Dominion is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 42.5% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. Old Dominion

Liberty’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.4% of 108 attempts this season — 25th-worst among FBS offenses. Old Dominion’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty has gained 780 yards on 58 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Liberty has gained 780 yards on 58 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty RBs averaged 196.7 rushing yards per game (2,360/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Liberty caught just 7 of 21 passes(33% Reception Pct) last week– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 63%

Old Dominion: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty

Old Dominion’s WRs has gained 573 yards on 38 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion has 244 receptions in 15 games (just 16.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 15.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Old Dominion’s QBs has thrown for 2,964 passing yards in 15 games (just 197.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 181.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s QBs has thrown for 2,964 passing yards in 15 games (just 197.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 181.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 2,964 passing yards in 15 games (just 197.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 181.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Liberty vs. Old Dominion

Old Dominion’s WRs has gained 573 yards on 38 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion has 244 receptions in 15 games (just 16.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 15.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Old Dominion’s QBs has thrown for 2,964 passing yards in 15 games (just 197.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 181.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s QBs has thrown for 2,964 passing yards in 15 games (just 197.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 181.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 2,964 passing yards in 15 games (just 197.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 181.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.4% of 108 attempts this season — 25th-worst among FBS offenses. Old Dominion’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty has gained 780 yards on 58 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Liberty has gained 780 yards on 58 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty RBs averaged 196.7 rushing yards per game (2,360/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Liberty caught just 7 of 21 passes(33% Reception Pct) last week– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 63%

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends

Liberty’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.4% of 108 attempts this season — 25th-worst among FBS offenses. Old Dominion’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty has gained 780 yards on 58 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Liberty has gained 780 yards on 58 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty RBs averaged 196.7 rushing yards per game (2,360/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Liberty caught just 7 of 21 passes(33% Reception Pct) last week– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 63%

Old Dominion Offensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion’s WRs has gained 573 yards on 38 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion has 244 receptions in 15 games (just 16.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 15.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Old Dominion’s QBs has thrown for 2,964 passing yards in 15 games (just 197.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 181.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s QBs has thrown for 2,964 passing yards in 15 games (just 197.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 181.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 2,964 passing yards in 15 games (just 197.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 181.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends

Liberty’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.4% of 108 attempts this season — 25th-worst among FBS offenses. Old Dominion’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.2% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty has gained 780 yards on 58 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Liberty has gained 780 yards on 58 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Liberty RBs averaged 196.7 rushing yards per game (2,360/12) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Liberty caught just 7 of 21 passes(33% Reception Pct) last week– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 63%

Old Dominion Defensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion’s WRs has gained 573 yards on 38 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion has 244 receptions in 15 games (just 16.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 15.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Old Dominion’s QBs has thrown for 2,964 passing yards in 15 games (just 197.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 181.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s QBs has thrown for 2,964 passing yards in 15 games (just 197.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 181.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Old Dominion’s offense has thrown for 2,964 passing yards in 15 games (just 197.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 181.2 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.


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