Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Liberty is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Louisiana Tech
  • Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Liberty (4-6) visit Joe Aillet Stadium to take on Louisiana Tech (5-5) on Nov. 22 in Ruston, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST.

Liberty is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech Over/Under is 44.5 total points.

Bet now on Louisiana Tech vs Liberty & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Liberty-1.5 -10544.5 -105-115
Louisiana Tech +1.5 -11544.5 -115-105

Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana Tech will win this game with 51.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Liberty and Louisiana Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana Tech will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Louisiana Tech vs Liberty and all games with BetMGM


  • Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+0.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)

Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Liberty is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).

  • Liberty is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -11.5% ROI
  • Liberty is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Liberty is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana Tech iss 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • Louisiana Tech is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -14.86% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech have thrown 3 TDs on 29 pass attempts (one TD every 9.7 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 6th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7

Louisiana Tech TEs have no touchdowns on 32 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2

Louisiana Tech have averaged a touchdown every 23.6 receptions (165 Rec/7 TDs) this season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.2

Louisiana Tech Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.7 receptions (11 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Louisiana Tech Skill Players have averaged 20.4 yards per reception (143 yards/7 catches) in short yardage situations this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.0

Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty

Liberty was 2-4 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Liberty is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Liberty was 4-1 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Liberty was undefeated (13-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

Matchup Notes for Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech

Liberty was 2-4 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Liberty is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Liberty was 4-1 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Liberty was undefeated (13-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

Louisiana Tech have thrown 3 TDs on 29 pass attempts (one TD every 9.7 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 6th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7

Louisiana Tech TEs have no touchdowns on 32 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2

Louisiana Tech have averaged a touchdown every 23.6 receptions (165 Rec/7 TDs) this season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.2

Louisiana Tech Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.7 receptions (11 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Louisiana Tech Skill Players have averaged 20.4 yards per reception (143 yards/7 catches) in short yardage situations this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.0

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech have thrown 3 TDs on 29 pass attempts (one TD every 9.7 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 6th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7

Louisiana Tech TEs have no touchdowns on 32 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2

Louisiana Tech have averaged a touchdown every 23.6 receptions (165 Rec/7 TDs) this season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.2

Louisiana Tech Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.7 receptions (11 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Louisiana Tech Skill Players have averaged 20.4 yards per reception (143 yards/7 catches) in short yardage situations this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.0

Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Liberty was 2-4 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Liberty is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Liberty was 4-1 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Liberty was undefeated (13-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech have thrown 3 TDs on 29 pass attempts (one TD every 9.7 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 6th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7

Louisiana Tech TEs have no touchdowns on 32 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2

Louisiana Tech have averaged a touchdown every 23.6 receptions (165 Rec/7 TDs) this season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.2

Louisiana Tech Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.7 receptions (11 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Louisiana Tech Skill Players have averaged 20.4 yards per reception (143 yards/7 catches) in short yardage situations this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.0

Louisiana Tech Defensive Stats & Trends

Liberty was 2-4 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Liberty is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Liberty was 4-1 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Liberty was undefeated (13-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586


Bet now on Louisiana Tech vs Liberty and all games with BetMGM


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