Liberty vs Florida International Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

• Liberty is a -3 point favorite vs. Florida International
• Liberty vs. Florida International Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN+

Liberty (4-5) visit Pitbull Stadium to take on Florida International (4-5) on Nov. 15 in Miami, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST.

Liberty is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Liberty vs. Florida International Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Liberty vs. Florida International Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Liberty vs Florida International Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 56.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Liberty and Florida International, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

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Liberty Best Bets Today

• Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 72% ROI)
• Liberty has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
• Liberty has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
• Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
• Liberty have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.70 Units / 5% ROI)

Florida International Best Bets Today

• FIU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 59% ROI)
• Florida International has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• FIU has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• FIU have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• FIU have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Liberty is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• Liberty is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -9.38% ROI
• Liberty is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
• Liberty is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Florida International Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida International iss 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).

• Florida International is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 3.01% ROI
• Florida International is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
• Florida International is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. Florida International

Liberty opponents has averaged 10.0 Passing Attempts per TD (20 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Liberty opponents has averaged 10.0 Passing Attempts per TD (20 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 3.8

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Liberty has allowed a Completion Pct of 83% (24 completions/29 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Florida International: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty

Florida International’s RBs has averaged just 4.5 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 6.2 RAC to RBs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International have averaged just 8.9 yards per completion (783 yards/88 completions) on 3rd down since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.9

Florida International’s RBs has gained 134 yards on 31 receptions (just 4.3 YPR) this season — worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 6.2 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International RBs averaged 2.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (48 yards / 23 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Florida International QBs fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Matchup Notes for Liberty vs. Florida International

Florida International’s RBs has averaged just 4.5 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 6.2 RAC to RBs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International have averaged just 8.9 yards per completion (783 yards/88 completions) on 3rd down since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.9

Florida International’s RBs has gained 134 yards on 31 receptions (just 4.3 YPR) this season — worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 6.2 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International RBs averaged 2.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (48 yards / 23 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Florida International QBs fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Liberty opponents has averaged 10.0 Passing Attempts per TD (20 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Liberty opponents has averaged 10.0 Passing Attempts per TD (20 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 3.8

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Liberty has allowed a Completion Pct of 83% (24 completions/29 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends

Liberty opponents has averaged 10.0 Passing Attempts per TD (20 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Liberty opponents has averaged 10.0 Passing Attempts per TD (20 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 3.8

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Liberty has allowed a Completion Pct of 83% (24 completions/29 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Florida International Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida International’s RBs has averaged just 4.5 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 6.2 RAC to RBs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International have averaged just 8.9 yards per completion (783 yards/88 completions) on 3rd down since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.9

Florida International’s RBs has gained 134 yards on 31 receptions (just 4.3 YPR) this season — worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 6.2 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International RBs averaged 2.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (48 yards / 23 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Florida International QBs fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends

Liberty opponents has averaged 10.0 Passing Attempts per TD (20 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Liberty opponents has averaged 10.0 Passing Attempts per TD (20 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 3.8

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Liberty has allowed a Completion Pct of 83% (24 completions/29 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Florida International Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida International’s RBs has averaged just 4.5 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 6.2 RAC to RBs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International have averaged just 8.9 yards per completion (783 yards/88 completions) on 3rd down since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.9

Florida International’s RBs has gained 134 yards on 31 receptions (just 4.3 YPR) this season — worst among FBS RBs. Liberty’s defense has allowed just 6.2 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International RBs averaged 2.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (48 yards / 23 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Florida International QBs fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

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