Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

Vanderbilt head coach Clark Lea argues a call in the first half of an NCAA college football game against Florida Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn.
(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
  • Vanderbilt is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Kentucky
  • Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

Kentucky (5-5) visit FirstBank Stadium to take on Vanderbilt (8-2) on Nov. 22 in Nashville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Vanderbilt is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky+9.5 -11053.5 -110290
Vanderbilt -9.5 -11053.5 -110-375

Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Vanderbilt will win this game with 76.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Vanderbilt, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 57.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.32 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+1.05 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+0.85 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 42% ROI)

Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kentucky is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Kentucky is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 5.05% ROI
  • Kentucky is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 24.55% ROI
  • Kentucky is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI

Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Vanderbilt iss 8-2 against the spread this college football season (+5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • Vanderbilt is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 8.02% ROI
  • Vanderbilt is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Vanderbilt is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt

Kentucky WRs caught just 114 of 220 passes(52% Reception Pct) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 61%

Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.2% of 291 attempts this season — T-28th-worst among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

Kentucky’s TEs has gained 443 yards on 35 receptions (12.7 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among SEC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Kentucky RBs rushed for 4 TDs last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Kentucky RBs rushed for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky

Vanderbilt TEs have averaged 6.3 receptions per game (63/10) this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 3.7

Vanderbilt TEs have been targeted 9.1 times per game (91/10) this season– highest among SEC Teams; Average: 5.8

Vanderbilt’s TEs has gained 886 yards on 63 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt’s TEs has 63 receptions in 10 games (6.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.

Vanderbilt has gained 2,520 yards on 190 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt TEs have averaged 6.3 receptions per game (63/10) this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 3.7

Vanderbilt TEs have been targeted 9.1 times per game (91/10) this season– highest among SEC Teams; Average: 5.8

Vanderbilt’s TEs has gained 886 yards on 63 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt’s TEs has 63 receptions in 10 games (6.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.

Vanderbilt has gained 2,520 yards on 190 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kentucky WRs caught just 114 of 220 passes(52% Reception Pct) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 61%

Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.2% of 291 attempts this season — T-28th-worst among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

Kentucky’s TEs has gained 443 yards on 35 receptions (12.7 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among SEC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Kentucky RBs rushed for 4 TDs last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Kentucky RBs rushed for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky WRs caught just 114 of 220 passes(52% Reception Pct) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 61%

Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.2% of 291 attempts this season — T-28th-worst among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

Kentucky’s TEs has gained 443 yards on 35 receptions (12.7 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among SEC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Kentucky RBs rushed for 4 TDs last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Kentucky RBs rushed for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt TEs have averaged 6.3 receptions per game (63/10) this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 3.7

Vanderbilt TEs have been targeted 9.1 times per game (91/10) this season– highest among SEC Teams; Average: 5.8

Vanderbilt’s TEs has gained 886 yards on 63 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt’s TEs has 63 receptions in 10 games (6.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.

Vanderbilt has gained 2,520 yards on 190 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky WRs caught just 114 of 220 passes(52% Reception Pct) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 61%

Kentucky’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.2% of 291 attempts this season — T-28th-worst among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

Kentucky’s TEs has gained 443 yards on 35 receptions (12.7 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among SEC TEs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Kentucky RBs rushed for 4 TDs last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Kentucky RBs rushed for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Vanderbilt Defensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt TEs have averaged 6.3 receptions per game (63/10) this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 3.7

Vanderbilt TEs have been targeted 9.1 times per game (91/10) this season– highest among SEC Teams; Average: 5.8

Vanderbilt’s TEs has gained 886 yards on 63 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt’s TEs has 63 receptions in 10 games (6.3 per game) this season — 5th-best among FBS TEs. Kentucky’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.

Vanderbilt has gained 2,520 yards on 190 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.


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