Kentucky vs Georgia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

Georgia head coach Kirby Smart watches a play during the first half of the Southeastern Conference championship NCAA college football game against Alabama in Atlanta, Saturday, Dec. 2, 2023. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
  • Georgia is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Kentucky
  • Kentucky vs. Georgia Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

Kentucky (2-2) visit Sanford Stadium to take on Georgia (3-1) on Oct. 4 in Athens, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Georgia is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-115).

The Kentucky vs. Georgia Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Georgia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky+20.5 -10548.5 -110900
Georgia -20.5 -11548.5 -110-1600

Kentucky vs Georgia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 86.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kentucky and Georgia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kentucky vs Georgia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)

Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kentucky is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • Kentucky is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Kentucky is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Kentucky is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia iss 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.35 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Georgia is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -11.67% ROI
  • Georgia is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Georgia is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (2 completions/8 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Georgia has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 6 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Georgia has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 6 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 69 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (5 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in the SEC; Average: 51%

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky

Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Kentucky is 5-8 (.385) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .690

Matchup Notes for Kentucky vs. Georgia

Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Kentucky is 5-8 (.385) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .690

Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (2 completions/8 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Georgia has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 6 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Georgia has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 6 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 69 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (5 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in the SEC; Average: 51%

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (2 completions/8 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Georgia has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 6 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Georgia has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 6 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 69 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (5 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in the SEC; Average: 51%

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Kentucky is 5-8 (.385) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .690

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (2 completions/8 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Georgia has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 6 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Georgia has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 6 rushing attempts in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 69 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (5 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in the SEC; Average: 51%

Georgia Defensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Kentucky is 5-8 (.385) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .690


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