Kent St vs Ball St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

BetMGM Betting Nov 05, 2025, 6:26 PM

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(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)

Ball St is a -3 point favorite vs. Kent St
Kent State vs. Ball State Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
TV Channel: ESPNU

Kent State (3-5) visit Scheumann Stadium to take on Ball State (3-5) on Nov. 5 in Muncie, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

Ball St is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Kent State vs. Ball State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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Kent State vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Kent State	+3 -110	47.5 -110	125
Ball State	-3 -110	47.5 -110	-150

Kent State vs Ball State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this game with 56.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kent St and Ball St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kent State vs Ball State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Kent State Best Bets Today

Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Kent State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Kent State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Kent State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 games (+1.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Ball State Best Bets Today

Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+4.65 Units / 85% ROI)
Ball State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Ball State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent St is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Kent State is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 40.32% ROI
Kent State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Kent State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ball St iss 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

Ball State is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 35.57% ROI
Ball State is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Ball State is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Ball State

Kent State RBs averaged 2.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (153 yards / 60 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Kent State RBs averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (140 yards/58 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Kent State RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 7 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.9

Kent State RBs have averaged just 3.6 Yards per Carry (1,618 yards/455 carries) since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Kent State RBs have averaged 2.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (288 yards / 103 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Ball State: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State

Kent State allowed 6.8 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Kent State has allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (45 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Kent State intercepted 4 of 344 attempts (86.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1

Kent State allowed 6.8 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Kent State allowed 18 TD passes in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Matchup Notes for Kent State vs. Ball State