Kennesaw St vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 1

Wake Forest defensive lineman Jasheen Davis (30) plays against Vanderbilt during an NCAA college football game on Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022, in Nashville, TN.
(AP Photo/John Amis)
  • Wake Forest is a -17.5 point favorite vs. Kennesaw St
  • Kennesaw State vs. Wake Forest Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

The Kennesaw State (0-0) visit Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on the Wake Forest (0-0) on Aug. 29 in Winston Salem, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Wake Forest is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Kennesaw State vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Kennesaw State vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kennesaw State+17.5 -11051.5 -105+650
Wake Forest -17.5 -11051.5 -115-1000

Kennesaw State vs Wake Forest Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Wake Forest will win this game with 81.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kennesaw St and Wake Forest, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kennesaw State vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kennesaw State will cover the spread with 73.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Kennesaw State has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+14.70 Units / 245% ROI)
  • Kennesaw State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kennesaw State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Kennesaw State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kennesaw State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Kennesaw State: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest

Kennesaw State is winless (0-9) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

Kennesaw State is winless (0-9) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: .532

Kennesaw State was winless (0-8) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .532

Kennesaw State is 2-11 (.154) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .569

Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. Kennesaw State

Wake Forest is 8-13 (.381) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .660

Wake Forest is 5-11 (.312) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– T-14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .460

Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464

Matchup Notes for Kennesaw State vs. Wake Forest

Wake Forest’s WRs averaged 26.1 targets per game last season — 4th-highest among ACC WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense allowed 15.0 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s TEs had 26 receptions in 12 games (just 2.2 per game) last season — 2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Kennesaw State’s defense allowed 20.2 receptions per game last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs had 193.2 receiving yards per game last season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense allowed 190.0 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State’s offense threw for 1,635 passing yards in 12 games (just 136.2 YPG) last season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Wake Forest’s defense allowed 277.8 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Kennesaw State’s QBs threw for 1,603 passing yards in 12 games (just 133.6 YPG) last season — 6th-worst among FBS teams. Wake Forest’s defense allowed 277.8 passing yards per game last season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State’s offense threw for 1,635 passing yards in 12 games (just 136.2 YPG) last season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Wake Forest’s defense allowed 277.8 passing yards per game last season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kennesaw State RBs have averaged 2.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (312 yards / 118 touches) on 2nd down since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Kennesaw State Skill Players averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (3 yards/1 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Kennesaw State Skill Players averaged just 5.5 yards per reception (44 yards/8 catches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Kennesaw State’s offense threw for 1,635 passing yards in 12 games (just 136.2 YPG) last season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Wake Forest’s defense allowed 277.8 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Kennesaw State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.0 receptions (8 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest Skill Players had no touchdowns on 20 receptions in close and late situations in the 2024 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

Wake Forest’s WRs averaged 26.1 targets per game last season — 4th-highest among ACC WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense allowed 15.0 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s TEs had 26 receptions in 12 games (just 2.2 per game) last season — 2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Kennesaw State’s defense allowed 20.2 receptions per game last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs had 193.2 receiving yards per game last season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense allowed 190.0 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs averaged 26.1 targets per game last season — 13th-highest among FBS WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense allowed 15.0 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State Defensive Stats & Trends

Kennesaw State tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 7 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Kennesaw State has allowed 4.8 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (30 completions/38 attempts) in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Kennesaw State tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 7 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (3 completions/3 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) in the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 18.5

Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) in the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8

Wake Forest allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (320 completions/454 attempts) in the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Wake Forest allowed opponents to catch 320 of 445 passes (72% Reception Pct) in the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Wake Forest allowed 320 completions in the 2024 season– most among Power Conference Teams


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