Kennesaw St vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

BetMGM Betting Nov 28, 2025, 10:30 AM

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Liberty University's football stadium is empty as students were welcomed back to the university's campus, March 24, 2020, in Lynchburg, Va. Liberty University failed to warn its Virginia campus community about safety threats, including from individuals accused of sexual violence, according to a Washington Post report published on Tuesday, Oct. 3, 2023.

(AP Photo/Steve Helber)

Kennesaw St is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Liberty
Kennesaw State vs. Liberty Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
TV Channel: CBSN

Kennesaw State (8-3) visit Williams Stadium to take on Liberty (4-7) on Nov. 29 in Lynchburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Kennesaw St is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Kennesaw State vs. Liberty Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Kennesaw State vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Kennesaw State	-2.5 -105	55.5 -115	-130
Liberty	+2.5 -115	55.5 -105	110

Kennesaw State vs Liberty Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kennesaw State will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kennesaw St and Liberty, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kennesaw State vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kennesaw State will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Kennesaw State Best Bets Today

Kennesaw State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.53 Units / 39% ROI)
Kennesaw State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 15% ROI)
Kennesaw State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Kennesaw State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Kennesaw State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Liberty Best Bets Today

Liberty has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
Liberty has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Liberty has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Kennesaw State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kennesaw St is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.4% ROI).

Kennesaw State is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 18.97% ROI
Kennesaw State is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI
Kennesaw State is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 13.22% ROI

Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Liberty iss 3-8 against the spread this college football season (-5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI).

Liberty is 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -13.15% ROI
Liberty is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Liberty is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Kennesaw State: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty

Liberty was 6-1 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .604

Liberty was 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .375

Liberty was undefeated (6-0) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

Liberty was undefeated (6-0) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .438

Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. Kennesaw State

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Liberty did not allow a first down on any of their opponents’ 25 rush attempts on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%

Liberty has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 28 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Liberty has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (16/305) this season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Matchup Notes for Kennesaw State vs. Liberty