- Kansas St is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Arizona
- Kansas State vs. Arizona Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
Kansas State (1-2) visit Arizona Stadium to take on Arizona (2-0) on Sep. 12 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.
Kansas St is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Kansas State vs. Arizona Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Kansas State vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kansas State | -1.5 -105 | 54.5 -110 | -115 |
| Arizona | ++1.5 -115 | 54.5 -110 | -105 |
Kansas State vs Arizona Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 88.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas St and Arizona, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kansas State vs Arizona Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Kansas State Best Bets Today
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Arizona Best Bets Today
- Arizona has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas St is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- Kansas State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -19.1% ROI
- Kansas State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Kansas State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona iss 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Arizona is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 15.87% ROI
- Arizona is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Arizona is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona
Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668
Kansas State was 4-3 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Kansas State was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Kansas State was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .628
Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State
Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Arizona was 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Arizona is 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .612
Matchup Notes for Kansas State vs. Arizona
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 21.6% of 51 attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.9% of attempts this season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 21.6% of 51 attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.9% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona has 3.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 1.3 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s TEs has gained 182 yards on 14 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s RBs has rushed for 2,355 yards on 373 carries (6.3 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-6th-best among FBS RBs. Arizona’s defense have allowed 4.6 YPC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s TEs has gained 182 yards on 14 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State WRs have been targeted 18 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Kansas State TEs have been targeted 6 times in short yardage situations this season– most among FBS Teams
Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Power Conference Teams
Kansas State Skill Players have been targeted 17 times on 3rd down this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Big 12 Teams
Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2
Arizona TEs have averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2
Arizona’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 21.6% of 51 attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.9% of attempts this season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona WRs have no touchdowns on 11 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 8.8
Arizona TEs had no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State has allowed 10 receptions for 20+ yards this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Kansas State has allowed 4 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– most in the Big 12
Kansas State has allowed 10 receptions for 20+ yards this season– most in the Big 12
Kansas State defense has allowed 10 completions for 20 or more yards this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Kansas State has no interceptions (67 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 42.4
Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona has averaged 3.00 interceptions per game (3/1) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 0.84
Arizona has averaged 3.00 interceptions per game (3/1) this season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.74
Arizona has averaged 3.00 interceptions per game (3/1) this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 0.71
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 29 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 29 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%.
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