Kansas vs Central Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

• Kansas is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Central Florida
• Kansas vs. UCF Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN2

Kansas (3-2) visit Acrisure Bounce House to take on UCF (3-1) on Oct. 4 in Orlando, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Kansas is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Kansas vs. UCF Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Kansas vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Kansas vs UCF Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kansas will win this game with 60.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas and Central Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kansas vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 56.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Kansas Best Bets Today

• Kansas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
• Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 57% ROI)
• Kansas have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 51% ROI)
• Kansas have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
• Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)

UCF Best Bets Today

• UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.85 Units / 11% ROI)
• UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
• UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.21% ROI).

• Kansas is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -7.92% ROI
• Kansas is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
• Kansas is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Florida iss 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• UCF is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.92% ROI
• UCF is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
• UCF is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. UCF

Kansas allowed 10 rushing TDs on 412 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 23.8

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 9%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 15 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-worst in the Big 12; Average: 15%.

UCF: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

Kansas Skill Players have averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.8

Kansas WRs have averaged 41.0 yards per reception (123 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.1

Kansas’s WRs has 163 receptions in 16 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed 19.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas has 248 receptions in 16 games (just 15.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed 19.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Matchup Notes for Kansas vs. UCF

Kansas Skill Players have averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.8

Kansas WRs have averaged 41.0 yards per reception (123 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.1

Kansas’s WRs has 163 receptions in 16 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed 19.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas has 248 receptions in 16 games (just 15.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed 19.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas allowed 10 rushing TDs on 412 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 23.8

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 9%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 15 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-worst in the Big 12; Average: 15%.

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas allowed 10 rushing TDs on 412 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 23.8

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 9%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 15 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-worst in the Big 12; Average: 15%.

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas Skill Players have averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.8

Kansas WRs have averaged 41.0 yards per reception (123 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.1

Kansas’s WRs has 163 receptions in 16 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed 19.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas has 248 receptions in 16 games (just 15.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed 19.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas allowed 10 rushing TDs on 412 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 23.8

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 9%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 15 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-worst in the Big 12; Average: 15%.

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas Skill Players have averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.8

Kansas WRs have averaged 41.0 yards per reception (123 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.1

Kansas’s WRs has 163 receptions in 16 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed 19.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s WRs has averaged 14.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas has 248 receptions in 16 games (just 15.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed 19.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

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