Kansas vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

BetMGM Betting Nov 07, 2025, 10:54 AM

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(Photo by Underawesternsky/Shutterstock

Arizona is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Kansas
Kansas vs. Arizona Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN2

Kansas (5-4) visit Arizona Stadium to take on Arizona (5-3) on Nov. 8 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Arizona is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Kansas vs. Arizona Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Kansas vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Kansas	+4.5 -105	56.5 -115	165
Arizona	-4.5 -115	56.5 -105	-200

Kansas vs Arizona Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 64.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas and Arizona, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kansas vs Arizona Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Kansas Best Bets Today

Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 43% ROI)
Kansas has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 15% ROI)
Kansas have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Kansas have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)

Arizona Best Bets Today

Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 10% ROI)
Arizona have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 35% ROI)
Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 15% ROI)

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.55 Units / -35.68% ROI).

Kansas is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -3.98% ROI
Kansas is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Kansas is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona iss 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI).

Arizona is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 2.75% ROI
Arizona is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Arizona is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

Kansas has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 16 of their 297 carries (5%) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 3%

Kansas has allowed a Completion Pct of 89% (16 completions/18 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 61%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Kansas has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (7 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 64%

Kansas allowed 10 rushing TDs on 412 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 23.8

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7

Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 240 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2

Kansas’s TEs has 43 receptions in 8 games (5.4 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Arizona’s defense has allowed just 14.9 receptions per game this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s RBs has averaged 9.6 yards after the catch this season — T-27th-best among FBS RBs. Arizona’s defense has allowed 10.1 RAC to RBs this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Kansas vs. Arizona