James Madison vs Georgia St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

BetMGM Betting Oct 02, 2025, 2:50 PM

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Georgia State head coach Dell McGee during the first half of an NCAA football game against Georgia Techon Saturday, Aug. 31, 2024 in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Stew Milne)

(AP Photo/Stew Milne)

James Madison is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Georgia St
James Madison vs. Georgia State Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN+

James Madison (3-1) visit Center Parc Stadium to take on Georgia State (1-3) on Oct. 4 in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

James Madison is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-105).

The James Madison vs. Georgia State Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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James Madison vs. Georgia State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
James Madison	-20.5 -105	53.5 -105	-1600
Georgia State	+20.5 -115	53.5 -115	850

James Madison vs Georgia State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 84.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both James Madison and Georgia St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

James Madison vs Georgia State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia State will cover the spread with 60.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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James Madison Best Bets Today

James Madison has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 55% ROI)
James Madison has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 47% ROI)
James Madison have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
James Madison have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.05 Units / 16% ROI)
James Madison has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)

Georgia State Best Bets Today

Georgia State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Georgia State has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 11 games (+1.10 Units / 2% ROI)
Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.03 Units / 7% ROI)

James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record

James Madison is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).

James Madison is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 3.6% ROI
James Madison is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
James Madison is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI

Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia St iss 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI).

Georgia State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -2.38% ROI
Georgia State is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Georgia State is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State

Georgia State RBs were targeted 4.9 times per game (59/12) in the 2nd half last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Georgia State RBs caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

Georgia State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.6% of 144 attempts this season — T-28th-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 2.9% of attempts this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia State RBs picked up first downs on 4 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-5th-most among FBS Teams

Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison

James Madison has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (30 completions/70 attempts) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

James Madison has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (30 completions/70 attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 61%

James Madison has allowed 103.3 Passing Yards per game (310/3) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 222.4

James Madison has allowed opponents to catch just 30 of 70 passes (43% Reception Pct) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

James Madison has allowed just 103.3 receiving yards per game (310/3) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 222.5

Matchup Notes for James Madison vs. Georgia State