- Georgia Southern is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Jacksonville St
- Jacksonville State vs. Georgia Southern Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Jacksonville State (1-1) visit Allen E. Paulson Stadium to take on Georgia Southern (0-2) on Sep. 13 in Statesboro, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Georgia Southern is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Jacksonville State vs. Georgia Southern Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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Jacksonville State vs. Georgia Southern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jacksonville State | +3.5 -110 | 58.5 -110 | 150 |
| Georgia Southern | -3.5 -110 | 58.5 -110 | -185 |
Jacksonville State vs Georgia Southern Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Georgia Southern will win this game with 59.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Jacksonville St and Georgia Southern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Jacksonville State vs Georgia Southern Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Jacksonville State will cover the spread with 54.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Jacksonville State Best Bets Today
- Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jacksonville State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Georgia Southern Best Bets Today
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Georgia Southern have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Jacksonville St is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Jacksonville State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 47.5% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia Southern iss 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Georgia Southern is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -100% ROI
- Georgia Southern is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Georgia Southern is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern
Jacksonville State was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
Jacksonville State was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612
Jacksonville State is 8-6 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .403
Jacksonville State is 6-3 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State
Georgia Southern was 7-2 (.778) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
Georgia Southern was 3-1 (.750) when not losing a fumble last season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533
Georgia Southern was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Georgia Southern is 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .608
Matchup Notes for Jacksonville State vs. Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern has averaged just 10.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS skill players. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS WRs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern has averaged just 9.3 yards after the catch this season — T-21st-worst among FBS skill players. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 15.1 RAC this season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Jacksonville State’s QBs has thrown for 209 passing yards in 2 games (just 104.5 YPG) this season — 9th-worst among FBS teams. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 311.0 passing yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s WRs has 160 receptions in 16 games (just 10.0 per game) since the 2024 season — 28th-worst among FBS WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s offense has thrown for 209 passing yards in 2 games (just 104.5 YPG) this season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 311.0 passing yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State’s QBs has thrown for 209 passing yards in 2 games (just 104.5 YPG) this season — 9th-worst among FBS teams. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 311.0 passing yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s WRs has 160 receptions in 16 games (just 10.0 per game) since the 2024 season — 28th-worst among FBS WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s offense has thrown for 209 passing yards in 2 games (just 104.5 YPG) this season — 8th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 311.0 passing yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State has gained 2,875 yards on 211 receptions (13.6 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-10th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State’s RBs has rushed for 2,378 yards on 426 carries (5.6 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense have allowed 6.3 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia Southern has averaged just 10.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS skill players. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-16th-worst among FBS WRs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern RBs rushed for 6 TDs in close and late situations last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Georgia Southern has averaged just 9.3 yards after the catch this season — T-21st-worst among FBS skill players. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 15.1 RAC this season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Georgia Southern’s WRs has averaged just 10.5 yards after the catch this season — T-28th-worst among FBS WRs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 15.0 RAC to WRs this season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.
Jacksonville State Defensive Stats & Trends
Jacksonville State has allowed 8 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2024 season– most in FBS
Jacksonville State has allowed 8 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2024 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Jacksonville State allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-3rd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Jacksonville State allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (14 completions/33 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Jacksonville State tackled opponents for a loss on just 75 of 573 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Georgia Southern Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia Southern has allowed 376.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 123.0
Georgia Southern has allowed 376.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 145.3
Georgia Southern has allowed 5 rushing TDs this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Georgia Southern has allowed 5 rushing TDs this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Georgia Southern has allowed 4 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
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