- Kansas St is a -3 point favorite vs. Iowa St
- Iowa State vs. Kansas State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Iowa State (0-0) visit Aviva Stadium to take on the Kansas State (0-0) on Aug. 23 in Dublin, Ireland. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Kansas St is a betting favorite in Week 0, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Iowa State vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Iowa State vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Iowa State | +3 -110 | 50.5 -105 | +135 |
| Kansas State | -3 -110 | 50.5 -115 | -160 |
Iowa State vs Kansas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa St and Kansas St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Iowa State vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 79.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Iowa State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.90 Units / 8% ROI)
Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State
Iowa State was 9-3 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .625
Iowa State was 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647
Iowa State is 15-7 (.682) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .467
Iowa State is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .608
Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State
Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .692
Kansas State was 6-3 (.667) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .443
Kansas State is 10-4 (.714) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .531
Kansas State is 18-6 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .629
Matchup Notes for Iowa State vs. Kansas State
Kansas State’s TEs had 49 receptions in 13 games (3.8 per game) last season — T-4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense allowed just 14.0 receptions per game last season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s WRs had just 138.8 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense allowed just 113.1 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s TEs had 49 receptions in 13 games (3.8 per game) last season — T-4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense allowed just 14.0 receptions per game last season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s WRs averaged 23.4 targets per game last season — 33rd-highest among FBS WRs. Kansas State’s defense allowed 13.5 receptions per game to WRs last season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s WRs averaged 23.4 targets per game last season — 5th-highest among Big 12 WRs. Kansas State’s defense allowed 13.5 receptions per game to WRs last season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s WRs had 11 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — T-3rd-most among Big 12 WRs. Kansas State’s defense allowed 15 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — most among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State WRs have averaged 23.0 yards per reception (599 yards/26 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Iowa State Skill Players have averaged 20.8 yards per reception (830 yards/40 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.5
Iowa State Skill Players have averaged 20.9 yards per reception (398 yards/19 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.5
Iowa State’s WRs averaged 23.4 targets per game last season — 33rd-highest among FBS WRs. Kansas State’s defense allowed 13.5 receptions per game to WRs last season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State WRs have averaged 23.1 yards per reception (300 yards/13 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.5
Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State’s TEs had 49 receptions in 13 games (3.8 per game) last season — T-4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense allowed just 14.0 receptions per game last season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– most among Big 12 Teams
Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
Kansas State’s WRs had just 138.8 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense allowed just 113.1 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (43 completions/100 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 60%
Iowa State opponents has averaged 6.2 Passing Attempts per TD (93 Pass Attempts/15 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.3
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (43 completions/100 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 61%
Iowa State has allowed opponents to catch just 446 of 809 passes (55% Reception Pct) since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 61%
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (59 completions/126 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 56%
Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 54 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 14%.
Kansas State sacked opponents 35 times in the 2024 season– 2nd-most in the Big 12
Kansas State allowed 15 TD passes in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– most in the Big 12
Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.8
Kansas State allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (12 completions/40 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 54%
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