Iowa vs Rutgers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

Rutgers head coach Greg Schiano watches from the sideline during the second half of a NCAA college football game against Ohio State, Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023, in Piscataway, N.J. Ohio State won 35-16. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
  • Iowa is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Rutgers
  • Iowa vs. Rutgers Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

Iowa (2-1) visit SHI Stadium to take on Rutgers (3-0) on Sep. 19 in Piscataway, NJ. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Iowa vs. Rutgers Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Iowa vs. Rutgers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa-2.5 -11546.5 -105-140
Rutgers +2.5 -10546.5 -115115

Iowa vs Rutgers Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Rutgers will win this game with 56.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Rutgers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Iowa vs Rutgers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Rutgers will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.35 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.25 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.90 Units / 7% ROI)

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.06 Units / -1.87% ROI).

  • Iowa is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Iowa is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Iowa is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.03% ROI

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers iss 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 26.71% ROI).

  • Rutgers is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 14.49% ROI
  • Rutgers is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 93.75% ROI
  • Rutgers is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -100% ROI

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Iowa is 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .465

Iowa was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Iowa is 3-5 (.375) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Iowa was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Rutgers was 1-5 (.167) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Rutgers is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .676

Rutgers is 2-5 (.286) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .455

Rutgers was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Matchup Notes for Iowa vs. Rutgers

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 889 passing yards in 3 games (296.3 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 120.3 passing yards per game this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s TEs has gained 84 yards on 12 receptions (just 7.0 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has gained 769 yards on 51 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa’s QBs has thrown for 365 passing yards in 3 games (just 121.7 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS teams. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 194.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa’s WRs has 94 receptions in 16 games (just 5.9 per game) since the 2024 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Iowa has gained 2,076 yards on 206 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 5.4 yards per reception (81 yards/15 catches) on 1st down this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.2

Iowa RBs averaged 21.2 yards per reception (127 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.1

Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 8.5 yards per reception (365 yards/43 catches) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.6

Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 5.4 yards per reception (81 yards/15 catches) on 1st down this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1

Iowa’s QBs has thrown for 365 passing yards in 3 games (just 121.7 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS teams. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 194.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 889 passing yards in 3 games (296.3 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 120.3 passing yards per game this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s TEs has gained 84 yards on 12 receptions (just 7.0 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has gained 769 yards on 51 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 889 passing yards in 3 games (296.3 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 120.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers’s TEs has gained 275 yards on 40 receptions (just 6.9 YPR) since the 2024 season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.8

Iowa has no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed this season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.2

Iowa has not recorded a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.2

Iowa has not recorded a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.9

Rutgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 32 rushing attempts on 3rd and short last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Rutgers has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 27 of their 486 carries (6%) since the 2024 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 3%

Rutgers has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 7 of their 80 carries (9%) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 2%

Rutgers tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 60 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Rutgers has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 7 of their 80 carries (9%) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%


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