Iowa vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Nebraska head coach Matt Rhule reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Minnesota, Thursday, Aug. 31, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
  • Iowa is a -6 point favorite vs. Nebraska
  • Iowa vs. Nebraska Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBS

Iowa (7-4) visit Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) to take on Nebraska (7-4) on Nov. 28 in Lincoln, NE. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Iowa vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 38.5 total points.

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Iowa vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa-6 -11038.5 -110-235
Nebraska +6 -11038.5 -110195

Iowa vs Nebraska Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 64.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Nebraska, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Iowa vs Nebraska Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nebraska will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Nebraska have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.64 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.50 Units / 40% ROI)

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.74 Units / 31.14% ROI).

  • Iowa is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.77% ROI
  • Iowa is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • Iowa is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.43% ROI

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska iss 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.65 Units / -33.03% ROI).

  • Nebraska is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.68% ROI
  • Nebraska is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • Nebraska is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Iowa did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.3

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 26

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Iowa opponents has averaged 53.6 Passing Attempts per TD (268 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.2

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Nebraska opponents has averaged 50.6 Passing Attempts per TD (253 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 21.5

Nebraska had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.2

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (2 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 64%

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (2 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 61%

Nebraska allowed 8 rushing TDs on 390 carries (48.8 Carries Per TD) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Matchup Notes for Iowa vs. Nebraska

Nebraska opponents has averaged 50.6 Passing Attempts per TD (253 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 21.5

Nebraska had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.2

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (2 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 64%

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (2 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 61%

Nebraska allowed 8 rushing TDs on 390 carries (48.8 Carries Per TD) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Iowa did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.3

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 26

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Iowa opponents has averaged 53.6 Passing Attempts per TD (268 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.2

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.3

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 26

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Iowa opponents has averaged 53.6 Passing Attempts per TD (268 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.2

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska opponents has averaged 50.6 Passing Attempts per TD (253 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 21.5

Nebraska had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.2

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (2 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 64%

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (2 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 61%

Nebraska allowed 8 rushing TDs on 390 carries (48.8 Carries Per TD) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.3

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 26

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Iowa opponents has averaged 53.6 Passing Attempts per TD (268 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.2

Nebraska Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska opponents has averaged 50.6 Passing Attempts per TD (253 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 21.5

Nebraska had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.2

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (2 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 64%

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (2 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 61%

Nebraska allowed 8 rushing TDs on 390 carries (48.8 Carries Per TD) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2


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