- Iowa St is a -3 point favorite vs. Iowa
- Iowa vs. Iowa State Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
Iowa (1-0) visit Jack Trice Stadium to take on Iowa State (2-0) on Sep. 6 in Ames, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Iowa St is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Iowa vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 41.5 total points.
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Iowa vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Iowa | +3 -105 | 41.5 -115 | +130 |
| Iowa State | -3 -115 | 41.5 -105 | -155 |
Iowa vs Iowa State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 58.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Iowa St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Iowa vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Iowa State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.10 Units / 43% ROI)
Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa St iss 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Iowa State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 27.06% ROI
- Iowa State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Iowa State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State
Iowa was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Iowa was 5-1 (.833) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .656
Iowa was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647
Iowa was 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– 33rd-best in FBS; Average: .602
Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa
Iowa State was 10-2 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2024 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .431
Iowa State was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Iowa State was 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2024 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .692
Iowa State was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times in the 2024 season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .615
Matchup Notes for Iowa vs. Iowa State
Iowa State’s WRs has gained 217 yards on 14 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa State’s WRs has gained 217 yards on 14 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa State has gained 489 yards on 37 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa State’s defense has allowed 199.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s defense has allowed 199.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch this season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed 11.1 RAC this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State’s defense has allowed 199.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa TEs averaged 19.8 yards per reception (79 yards/4 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.3
Iowa Skill Players averaged 16.4 yards per reception (312 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.5
Iowa Skill Players averaged 20.1 yards per reception (201 yards/10 catches) in close and late situations in the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.5
Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 5.3 yards per reception (48 yards/9 catches) this season– T-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4
Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State TEs have 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Iowa State’s WRs has gained 217 yards on 14 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa State TEs have 13 receptions in the 1st half this season– most among FBS Teams
Iowa State’s WRs has gained 217 yards on 14 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa State TEs have 19 receptions this season– most among FBS Teams
Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa did not record a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 15.0
Iowa allowed 3 rushing TDs on 373 carries (124.3 Carries Per TD) in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.4
Iowa allowed 3 rushing TDs on 48 carries (16 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.8
Iowa has not recorded a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.1
Iowa allowed 3 rushing TDs on 48 carries (16 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6
Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 59 pass attempts this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 11.0
Iowa State has allowed 399 Passing Yards this season– 3rd-most among Power Conference Teams
Iowa State allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (21 completions/51 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 61%
Iowa State allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (196 completions/373 attempts) in the 2024 season– 2nd-best in the Big 12; Average: 60%
Iowa State opponents averaged just 14.0 completions per game (196 / 14) in the 2024 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 18.4
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