- Illinois is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Purdue
- Illinois vs. Purdue Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
Illinois (4-1) visit Ross-Ade Stadium to take on Purdue (2-2) on Oct. 4 in West Lafayette, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Illinois vs. Purdue Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Illinois vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Illinois | -9.5 -110 | 55.5 -105 | -375 |
| Purdue | +9.5 -110 | 55.5 -115 | 300 |
Illinois vs Purdue Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 72.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Purdue, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Illinois vs Purdue Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Illinois Best Bets Today
- Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets Today
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.82 Units / 40% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Illinois is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).
- Illinois is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 6.2% ROI
- Illinois is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Illinois is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue iss 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Purdue is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Purdue is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Purdue is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue
Purdue allowed 60 TDs last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 2.6
Purdue has no interceptions and 3 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.6
Purdue allowed 6.8 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.6
Purdue allowed 13.9 yards per completion (3,032 yards/218 completions) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11.0
Purdue has no interceptions (97 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 34.8
Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois
Purdue’s WRs has 150 receptions in 16 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue has 270 receptions in 16 games (just 16.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Purdue has 270 receptions in 16 games (just 16.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue has 270 receptions in 16 games (just 16.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue RBs averaged 10.0 Yards per Carry (269 yards/27 carries) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Matchup Notes for Illinois vs. Purdue
Purdue’s WRs has 150 receptions in 16 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue has 270 receptions in 16 games (just 16.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Purdue has 270 receptions in 16 games (just 16.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue has 270 receptions in 16 games (just 16.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue RBs averaged 10.0 Yards per Carry (269 yards/27 carries) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Purdue allowed 60 TDs last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 2.6
Purdue has no interceptions and 3 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.6
Purdue allowed 6.8 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.6
Purdue allowed 13.9 yards per completion (3,032 yards/218 completions) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11.0
Purdue has no interceptions (97 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 34.8
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Purdue allowed 60 TDs last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 2.6
Purdue has no interceptions and 3 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.6
Purdue allowed 6.8 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.6
Purdue allowed 13.9 yards per completion (3,032 yards/218 completions) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11.0
Purdue has no interceptions (97 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 34.8
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends
Purdue’s WRs has 150 receptions in 16 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue has 270 receptions in 16 games (just 16.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Purdue has 270 receptions in 16 games (just 16.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue has 270 receptions in 16 games (just 16.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue RBs averaged 10.0 Yards per Carry (269 yards/27 carries) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends
Purdue allowed 60 TDs last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 2.6
Purdue has no interceptions and 3 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.6
Purdue allowed 6.8 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.6
Purdue allowed 13.9 yards per completion (3,032 yards/218 completions) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11.0
Purdue has no interceptions (97 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 34.8
Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends
Purdue’s WRs has 150 receptions in 16 games (just 9.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue has 270 receptions in 16 games (just 16.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Purdue has 270 receptions in 16 games (just 16.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue has 270 receptions in 16 games (just 16.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue RBs averaged 10.0 Yards per Carry (269 yards/27 carries) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
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