- Indiana is a -6 point favorite vs. Illinois
- Illinois vs. Indiana Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: NBC | PEAC
Illinois (3-0) visit Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) to take on Indiana (3-0) on Sep. 20 in Bloomington, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Indiana is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Illinois vs. Indiana Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Illinois vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Illinois | +6 -110 | 52.5 -110 | 180 |
| Indiana | -6 -110 | 52.5 -110 | -220 |
Illinois vs Indiana Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Indiana will win this game with 77.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Indiana, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Illinois vs Indiana Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Indiana will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Illinois Best Bets Today
team high – away
Indiana Best Bets Today
team high – home
Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Illinois is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Illinois is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 4.32% ROI
- Illinois is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Illinois is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Indiana iss 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Indiana is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 2.78% ROI
- Indiana is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Indiana is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana
Illinois was 6-1 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .668
Illinois was 7-3 (.700) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .442
Illinois was 6-1 (.857) when in a one score game last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Illinois is 9-1 (.900) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .684
Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois
Indiana was undefeated (10-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604
Indiana was undefeated (10-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632
Indiana was winless (0-7) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576
Indiana is 8-1 (.889) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .455
Matchup Notes for Illinois vs. Indiana
Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 449 attempts since the 2024 season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana has gained 4,249 yards on 311 receptions (13.7 YPR) since the 2024 season — best among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Indiana has gained 4,249 yards on 311 receptions (13.7 YPR) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among Power 5 skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 11.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Illinois’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 79 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s TEs has gained 21 yards on 4 receptions (just 5.2 YPR) this season — T-2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has gained 3,015 yards on 206 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Illinois’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 79 attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s TEs has gained 21 yards on 4 receptions (just 5.2 YPR) this season — T-2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has gained 3,015 yards on 206 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has gained 3,015 yards on 206 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — best among P5 defenses.
Illinois has gained 3,460 yards on 268 receptions (12.9 YPR) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2024 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends
Indiana threw for 5 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Offenses
Indiana WRs have caught 8 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams
Indiana have thrown for 4 TDs in the 3rd quarter this season– T-most among FBS Offenses
Indiana Skill Players caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last week– most among Power Conference Teams
Indiana Skill Players caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Teams
Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends
Illinois has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 84 rushes this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 26.2
Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 36 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 67 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 67 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14%.
Illinois has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 84 rushes this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 33.3
Indiana Defensive Stats & Trends
Indiana has allowed no passing TDs (63 pass attempts) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 24.6
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 27 of 86 rushing attempts (31% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%.
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 117 of 466 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Indiana sacked opposing QBs on 25% of pass attempts (5/20) last week– best in FBS; Average: 7%
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 117 of 466 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%.
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