- Houston is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Oregon St
- Houston vs. Oregon State Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Houston (3-0) visit Reser Stadium to take on Oregon State (0-4) on Sep. 26 in Corvallis, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.
Houston is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Houston vs. Oregon State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Houston vs. Oregon State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Houston | -13.5 -110 | 47.5 -115 | -550 |
| Oregon State | +13.5 -110 | 47.5 -105 | 400 |
Houston vs Oregon State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Houston will win this game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Houston and Oregon St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Houston vs Oregon State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 62.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Houston Best Bets Today
- Houston has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+9.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Houston have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+1.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Oregon State Best Bets Today
- Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Houston is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Houston is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 9.88% ROI
- Houston is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Houston is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon St iss 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI).
- Oregon State is 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -100% ROI
- Oregon State is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Oregon State is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State
Houston WRs have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.3
Houston WRs have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
Houston Skill Players have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.4
Houston Skill Players have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.9
Houston WRs have averaged just 5.7 receptions per game (17/3) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2
Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Houston
Oregon State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.9 receptions (216 Rec/7 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.2% of 510 attempts since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Oregon State TEs averaged 21.9 yards per reception (175 yards/8 catches) on 1st down last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.2% of 510 attempts since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.
Matchup Notes for Houston vs. Oregon State
Oregon State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.9 receptions (216 Rec/7 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.2% of 510 attempts since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Oregon State TEs averaged 21.9 yards per reception (175 yards/8 catches) on 1st down last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.2% of 510 attempts since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.
Houston WRs have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.3
Houston WRs have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
Houston Skill Players have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.4
Houston Skill Players have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.9
Houston WRs have averaged just 5.7 receptions per game (17/3) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2
Houston Offensive Stats & Trends
Houston WRs have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.3
Houston WRs have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
Houston Skill Players have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.4
Houston Skill Players have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.9
Houston WRs have averaged just 5.7 receptions per game (17/3) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2
Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.9 receptions (216 Rec/7 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.2% of 510 attempts since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Oregon State TEs averaged 21.9 yards per reception (175 yards/8 catches) on 1st down last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.2% of 510 attempts since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.
Houston Defensive Stats & Trends
Houston WRs have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 14.3
Houston WRs have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
Houston Skill Players have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.4
Houston Skill Players have averaged 40.3 yards per reception (121 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.9
Houston WRs have averaged just 5.7 receptions per game (17/3) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2
Oregon State Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.9 receptions (216 Rec/7 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.2% of 510 attempts since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Oregon State TEs averaged 21.9 yards per reception (175 yards/8 catches) on 1st down last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.2% of 510 attempts since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.
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