- Arizona is a -17.5 point favorite vs. Hawaii
- Hawaii vs. Arizona Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: TNT | HBOM
The Hawaii (1-0) visit Arizona Stadium to take on the Arizona (0-0) on Aug. 30 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.
Arizona is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).
The Hawaii vs. Arizona Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Hawaii vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Hawaii | +17.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 | +600 |
| Arizona | -17.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 | -900 |
Hawaii vs Arizona Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 77.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Hawaii and Arizona, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Hawaii vs Arizona Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 67.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Hawaii Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Hawaii has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Hawaii have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Hawaii have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Hawaii have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 31% ROI)
Arizona Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Arizona has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Hawaii: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona
Hawai’i is undefeated (6-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .626
Hawai’i was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards in the 2024 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .380
Hawai’i was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs in the 2024 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Hawai’i was 2-7 (.222) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2024 season– T-15th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Hawaii
Arizona is 11-4 (.688) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .595
Arizona was 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .577
Arizona was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .417
Matchup Notes for Hawaii vs. Arizona
Arizona’s TEs gained 453 yards on 36 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s RBs averaged just 6.5 yards after the catch last season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed just 10.6 RAC last season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona’s WRs gained 2,164 yards on 172 receptions (just 12.6 YPR) last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i’s QBs threw for 3,218 passing yards in 12 games (268.2 YPG) last season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Arizona’s defense allowed 239.0 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Hawai’i’s offense threw for 3,218 passing yards in 12 games (268.2 YPG) last season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed 239.0 passing yards per game last season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i’s offense threw for 3,218 passing yards in 12 games (268.2 YPG) last season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed 239.0 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Hawaii Offensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i WRs averaged 22.0 receptions per game (264/12) in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
Hawai’i’s QBs threw for 3,218 passing yards in 12 games (268.2 YPG) last season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Arizona’s defense allowed 239.0 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Hawai’i WRs have averaged 21.8 receptions per game (544/25) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
Hawai’i’s offense threw for 3,218 passing yards in 12 games (268.2 YPG) last season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed 239.0 passing yards per game last season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i WRs were targeted 36.9 times per game (443/12) in the 2024 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4
Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2
Arizona’s TEs gained 453 yards on 36 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona TEs had no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona’s RBs averaged just 6.5 yards after the catch last season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed just 10.6 RAC last season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona Punters placed 60% of punts inside the 20 (3/5) in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 33%
Hawaii Defensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (37 completions/53 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go in the 2024 season– 20th-worst in FBS; Average: 61%
Hawai’i allowed a Completion Pct of 60% (27 completions/45 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Hawai’i allowed just 10.6 yards per completion (2,535 yards/239 completions) in the 2024 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: 11.8
Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of 58% (39 completions/67 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Hawai’i intercepted 6 of 365 attempts (60.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2024 season– 20th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.0
Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 37 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 11%.
Arizona tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 83 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-4th-worst in the Big 12; Average: 14%.
Arizona’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 4% of PATs in the 2024 season– 2nd-lowest in the Big 12; Average: 8%
Arizona tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 83 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Arizona has tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 70 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 10%.
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