Georgia vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

Tennessee Volunteers head coach Josh Heupel looks on during a team practice session ahead of the 2022 Orange Bowl, Tuesday, Dec. 27, 2022, in Miami Shores, Fla. Tennessee will face the Clemson Tigers in the Orange Bowl on Friday, Dec. 30.(AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell)
(AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell)
  • Georgia is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Tennessee
  • Georgia vs. Tennessee Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

Georgia (2-0) visit Neyland Stadium to take on Tennessee (2-0) on Sep. 13 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Georgia is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Georgia vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Georgia vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia-3.5 -11049.5 -105-175
Tennessee +3.5 -11049.5 -115145

Georgia vs Tennessee Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 62.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia and Tennessee, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia will cover the spread with 81.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 18% ROI)

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Georgia is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Georgia is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Georgia is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee iss 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Tennessee is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 19.23% ROI
  • Tennessee is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Tennessee is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

Georgia was 9-3 (.692) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Georgia was 9-1 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .624

Georgia was undefeated (9-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Georgia is undefeated (11-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .606

Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628

Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Tennessee is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .643

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631

Matchup Notes for Georgia vs. Tennessee

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 705 passing yards in 2 games (352.5 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 140.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 705 passing yards in 2 games (352.5 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 140.0 passing yards per game this season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s TEs has 9 receptions in 2 games (4.5 per game) this season — T-4th-best among SEC TEs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 13.5 receptions per game this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among SEC skill players. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s TEs has 4 receptions in 2 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — worst among SEC TEs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 21.0 receptions per game this season — worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia has gained 4,414 yards on 382 receptions (just 11.6 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-2nd-worst among SEC skill players. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia RBs picked up first downs on 6 receptions in close and late situations last season– most among FBS Teams

Georgia RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia Skill Players fumbled 6 times in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Georgia Skill Players have fumbled 6 times in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Georgia has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among SEC skill players. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 705 passing yards in 2 games (352.5 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 140.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 705 passing yards in 2 games (352.5 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 140.0 passing yards per game this season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s TEs has 9 receptions in 2 games (4.5 per game) this season — T-4th-best among SEC TEs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 13.5 receptions per game this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Tennessee has gained 3,580 yards on 290 receptions (just 12.3 YPR) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among SEC skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — 5th-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee’s TEs has 9 receptions in 2 games (4.5 per game) this season — T-4th-best among SEC TEs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 13.5 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

Georgia Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (26 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%

Georgia has not recorded a sack (21 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 15.7

Georgia do not has an interception in 1 games this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 0.56

Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (16 completions/41 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 54%

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee opponents averaged 6.8 Passing Attempts per TD (34 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Tennessee has allowed 7 receptions for 20+ yards this season– T-most in the SEC

Tennessee has allowed 4 TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Tennessee defense has allowed 7 completions for 20 or more yards this season– T-most in the SEC

Tennessee defense has allowed 7 completions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams


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