- Mississippi is a -35.5 point favorite vs. Georgia St
- Georgia State vs. Ole Miss Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
The Georgia State (0-0) visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium to take on the Ole Miss (0-0) on Aug. 30 in University, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT.
Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -35.5 (-110).
The Georgia State vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
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Georgia State vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Georgia State | +35.5 -110 | 60.5 -110 | + |
| Ole Miss | -35.5 -110 | 60.5 -110 | + |
Georgia State vs Ole Miss Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 90.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia St and Mississippi, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Georgia State vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Georgia State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Georgia State have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
Ole Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss
Georgia State was winless (0-6) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425
Georgia State is 1-9 (.100) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .383
Georgia State is 1-9 (.100) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .334
Georgia State was 2-8 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– 13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .408
Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State
Ole Miss is undefeated (12-0) when forcing and recovering at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .681
Ole Miss is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .668
Ole Miss is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .608
Ole Miss is undefeated (12-0) when forcing and recovering at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .621
Matchup Notes for Georgia State vs. Ole Miss
Ole Miss’s TEs gained 803 yards on 55 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among SEC TEs. Georgia State’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s WRs gained 3,558 yards on 208 receptions (17.1 YPR) last season — best among Power 5 WRs. Georgia State’s defense allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s RBs averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Georgia State’s defense allowed 9.4 RAC to RBs last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia State’s RBs averaged 8.5 targets per game last season — 4th-highest among FBS RBs. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 4.4 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia State’s RBs had 0.4 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-3rd-best among FBS RBs. Ole Miss’s defense allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia State had 270 receptions in 12 games (22.5 per game) last season — 27th-best among FBS skill players. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 20.6 receptions per game last season — worst among SEC defenses.
Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia State’s RBs averaged 8.5 targets per game last season — 4th-highest among FBS RBs. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 4.4 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia State RBs were targeted 12 times in short yardage situations in the 2024 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Georgia State RBs caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Georgia State RBs were targeted 8.5 times per game (102/12) in the 2024 season– 4th-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Georgia State RBs were targeted 32 times on 3rd down in the 2024 season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss QBs have 72 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss have completed passes for 20+ yards on 139 of their 790 total passing attempts (18%) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%
Ole Miss Skill Players averaged 15.4 yards per reception (4,123 yards/267 catches) in the 2024 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Ole Miss QBs have 139 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss WRs have 112 receptions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Georgia State Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia State had no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.5
Georgia State has allowed 16 TDs in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Georgia State tackled opponents for a loss on just 53 of 483 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) in the 2024 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Georgia State did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 34 rushing attempts on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 82% (27 completions/33 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%
Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss allowed 7 rushing TDs on 433 carries (61.9 Carries Per TD) in the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 23.1
Ole Miss averaged 4.4 sacks per game in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.2
Ole Miss averaged 4.4 sacks per game in the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 2.5
Ole Miss tackled opponents for a loss on 109 of 433 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Ole Miss averaged 4.4 sacks per game in the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 2.1
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