Georgia Southern vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

Southern California head coach Lincoln Riley watches during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Utah, Saturday, Oct. 21, 2023, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Ryan Sun)
(AP Photo/Ryan Sun)
  • USC is a -28.5 point favorite vs. Georgia Southern
  • Georgia Southern vs. USC Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

Georgia Southern (0-1) visit Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on USC (1-0) on Sep. 6 in Los Angeles, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

USC is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-105).

The Georgia Southern vs. USC Over/Under is 61.5 total points.

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Georgia Southern vs. USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia Southern+28.5 -11561.5 -110+1600
USC -28.5 -10561.5 -110-5000

Georgia Southern vs USC Prediction:

The winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 87.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Southern and USC, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia Southern vs USC Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts USC will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.40 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • USC have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • USC have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.55 Units / 40% ROI)

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Georgia Southern is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC iss 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • USC is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • USC is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • USC is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. USC

Georgia Southern was 7-2 (.778) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .627

Georgia Southern was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2024 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .431

Georgia Southern was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Georgia Southern was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553

USC: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern

USC was 2-5 (.250) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513

Matchup Notes for Georgia Southern vs. USC

USC’s offense has 5 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — T-most among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 4 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — T-2nd-most among NonP5 defenses.

USC’s offense has 5 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — T-most among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 4 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — T-2nd-most among FBS defenses.

USC’s offense has 5 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — T-most among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 5 rushing TDs this season — T-2nd-most among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern has averaged just 8.6 yards after the catch this season — 23rd-worst among FBS skill players. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.0 RAC this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern has averaged just 8.6 yards after the catch this season — 23rd-worst among FBS skill players. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.0 RAC this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern has averaged just 8.6 yards after the catch this season — 23rd-worst among FBS skill players. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.0 RAC this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern has averaged just 8.6 yards after the catch this season — 23rd-worst among FBS skill players. USC’s defense has allowed just 8.0 RAC this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Georgia Southern Skill Players averaged 22.2 receptions per game (289/13) in the 2024 season– T-28th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.7

Georgia Southern RBs have rushed for 6 TDs in close and late situations since the 2024 season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern WRs averaged 21.5 receptions per game (280/13) in the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

USC Offensive Stats & Trends

USC TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

USC WRs caught 8 touchdown passes in close and late situations in the 2024 season– most among Big Ten Teams

USC Skill Players caught 8 touchdown passes in close and late situations in the 2024 season– most among Big Ten Teams

USC WRs caught 9 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– most among Big Ten Teams

USC RBs have averaged 11.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (259 yards / 23 touches) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Georgia Southern Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern has allowed 376.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 145.3

Georgia Southern has allowed 5 rushing TDs this season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Georgia Southern has allowed 376.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 123.0

Georgia Southern has allowed 351.0 rushing yards per game (351/1) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 128.9

Georgia Southern has allowed 4 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

USC Defensive Stats & Trends

USC has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 29 rushing attempts (34% TFL%) this season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

USC tackled opponents for a loss on just 49 of 404 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) in the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

USC allowed 4.4 touchdowns per interception (31 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

USC has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (2/1) this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 0.71

USC allowed 4.4 touchdowns per interception (31 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.6


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