Georgia Southern vs James Madison Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

James Madison head coach Bob Chesney watches during the first half of the Boca Raton Bowl NCAA college football game against Western Kentucky, Wednesday, Dec. 18, 2024, in Boca Raton, Fla. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
  • James Madison is a -17 point favorite vs. Georgia Southern
  • Georgia Southern vs. James Madison Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Georgia Southern (2-2) visit Bridgeforth Stadium/Zane Showker Field to take on James Madison (2-1) on Sep. 27 in Harrisonburg, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:30pm EDT.

James Madison is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -17 (-115).

The Georgia Southern vs. James Madison Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Georgia Southern vs. James Madison Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia Southern+17 -10557.5 -110600
James Madison -17 -11557.5 -110-900

Georgia Southern vs James Madison Prediction:

The winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 84.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Southern and James Madison, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia Southern vs James Madison Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia Southern will cover the spread with 69.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+3.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • James Madison have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • James Madison have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Georgia Southern is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.21% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI

James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record

James Madison iss 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • James Madison is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.04% ROI
  • James Madison is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -66.67% ROI
  • James Madison is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 60.61% ROI

Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison

Georgia Southern’s WRs has 269 receptions in 17 games (15.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 9.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.8% of 132 attempts this season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 2.9% of attempts this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia Southern has 368 receptions in 17 games (21.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.8% of 132 attempts this season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 2.9% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s WRs has 269 receptions in 17 games (15.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern

James Madison’s RBs has rushed for 2,412 yards on 429 carries (5.6 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense have allowed 6.2 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

James Madison WRs have averaged just 7.8 yards per reception (265 yards/34 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

James Madison RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

James Madison RBs have averaged 9.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (224 yards / 25 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 7th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

James Madison’s WRs have just 132.7 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 253.6 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Georgia Southern vs. James Madison

James Madison’s RBs has rushed for 2,412 yards on 429 carries (5.6 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense have allowed 6.2 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

James Madison WRs have averaged just 7.8 yards per reception (265 yards/34 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

James Madison RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

James Madison RBs have averaged 9.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (224 yards / 25 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 7th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

James Madison’s WRs have just 132.7 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 253.6 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s WRs has 269 receptions in 17 games (15.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 9.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.8% of 132 attempts this season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 2.9% of attempts this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia Southern has 368 receptions in 17 games (21.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.8% of 132 attempts this season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 2.9% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s WRs has 269 receptions in 17 games (15.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern’s WRs has 269 receptions in 17 games (15.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 9.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.8% of 132 attempts this season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 2.9% of attempts this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia Southern has 368 receptions in 17 games (21.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.8% of 132 attempts this season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 2.9% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s WRs has 269 receptions in 17 games (15.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends

James Madison’s RBs has rushed for 2,412 yards on 429 carries (5.6 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense have allowed 6.2 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

James Madison WRs have averaged just 7.8 yards per reception (265 yards/34 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

James Madison RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

James Madison RBs have averaged 9.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (224 yards / 25 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 7th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

James Madison’s WRs have just 132.7 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 253.6 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern’s WRs has 269 receptions in 17 games (15.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 9.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.8% of 132 attempts this season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 2.9% of attempts this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia Southern has 368 receptions in 17 games (21.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-31st-best among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.8% of 132 attempts this season — T-17th-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 2.9% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s WRs has 269 receptions in 17 games (15.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

James Madison Defensive Stats & Trends

James Madison’s RBs has rushed for 2,412 yards on 429 carries (5.6 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense have allowed 6.2 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

James Madison WRs have averaged just 7.8 yards per reception (265 yards/34 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

James Madison RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

James Madison RBs have averaged 9.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (224 yards / 25 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 7th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

James Madison’s WRs have just 132.7 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-worst among FBS WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 253.6 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.


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