Georgia Southern vs Appalachian St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

BetMGM Betting Nov 05, 2025, 6:26 PM

min read

The stadium namesake "The Rock" rests outside of the stadium before a football game between the Appalachian State and North Carolina Tar Heels , Saturday Sept. 3, 2022, in Boone, N.C. (AP Photo/Reinhold Matay)

(AP Photo/Reinhold Matay)

Appalachian St is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN2

Georgia Southern (3-5) visit Kidd Brewer Stadium to take on Appalachian State (4-4) on Nov. 6 in Boone, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Appalachian St is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State Over/Under is 61.5 total points.

Bet now on Appalachian St vs Georgia Southern & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Georgia Southern	+5.5 -110	61.5 -110	180
Appalachian State	-5.5 -110	61.5 -110	-220

Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Southern and Appalachian St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Appalachian State will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Appalachian St vs Georgia Southern and all games with BetMGM

Get a New Customer Offer

Georgia Southern Best Bets Today

Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Georgia Southern has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.70 Units / 10% ROI)
Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)

Appalachian State Best Bets Today

App State has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Appalachian State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Appalachian State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI).

Georgia Southern is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -7.41% ROI
Georgia Southern is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
Georgia Southern is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Appalachian St iss 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

Appalachian State is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -37.93% ROI
Appalachian State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Appalachian State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State

Georgia Southern has averaged a sack every 34.3 pass attempts (240 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.6

Georgia Southern has averaged a sack every 34.3 pass attempts (240 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4

Georgia Southern has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 69 of 332 carries (21%) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%

Georgia Southern has allowed 220.5 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 139.1

Georgia Southern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 35 of 332 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– T-3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern

Appalachian State has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Appalachian State has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Appalachian State allowed opponents to catch 193 of 270 passes (71% Reception Pct) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 62%

Appalachian State allowed opponents to catch 193 of 270 passes (71% Reception Pct) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Appalachian State allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (193 completions/281 attempts) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Matchup Notes for Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State