Georgia vs Mississippi St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

• Georgia is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Mississippi St
• Georgia vs. Mississippi State Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN

Georgia (7-1) visit Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field to take on Mississippi State (5-4) on Nov. 8 in Starkville, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Georgia is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Georgia vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Georgia vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia and Mississippi St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia will cover the spread with 56.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Georgia Best Bets Today

• Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 12% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)

Mississippi State Best Bets Today

• Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
• Mississippi State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 35% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.15 Units / 0% ROI)

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.45 Units / -28% ROI).

• Georgia is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 15.5% ROI
• Georgia is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI
• Georgia is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI

Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi St iss 8-1 against the spread this college football season (+6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI).

• Mississippi State is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 2.99% ROI
• Mississippi State is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
• Mississippi State is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi State

Mississippi State was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Mississippi State was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Mississippi State is winless (0-11) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .499

Mississippi State was winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443

Mississippi State: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Georgia was undefeated (9-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia was 9-1 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .624

Georgia was 9-3 (.692) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Matchup Notes for Georgia vs. Mississippi State

Georgia was undefeated (9-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia was 9-1 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .624

Georgia was 9-3 (.692) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Mississippi State was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Mississippi State was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Mississippi State is winless (0-11) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .499

Mississippi State was winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

Mississippi State was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Mississippi State was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Mississippi State is winless (0-11) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .499

Mississippi State was winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia was undefeated (9-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia was 9-1 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .624

Georgia was 9-3 (.692) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Georgia Defensive Stats & Trends

Mississippi State was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Mississippi State was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Mississippi State is winless (0-11) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .499

Mississippi State was winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia was undefeated (9-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia was 9-1 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .624

Georgia was 9-3 (.692) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .575

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