Georgia vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – SEC Championship

• Georgia is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Alabama
• Georgia vs. Alabama Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
• TV Channel: ABC

Georgia (11-1) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on Alabama (10-2) on Dec. 6 in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.

Georgia is a betting favorite in Week 15, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Georgia vs. Alabama Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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Georgia vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Georgia vs Alabama Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 52.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia and Alabama, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Georgia Best Bets Today

• Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Alabama Best Bets Today

• Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
• Alabama have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
• Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 48% ROI)
• Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia is 5-7 against the spread this college football season (-2.65 Units / -20.15% ROI).

• Georgia is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 18.71% ROI
• Georgia is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI
• Georgia is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI

Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Alabama iss 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 35.61% ROI).

• Alabama is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.76% ROI
• Alabama is 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
• Alabama is 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama

Georgia has averaged a sack every 22.8 pass attempts (319 Pass Attempts/14 Sacks) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 12.4

Georgia has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 45 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long this season– best in the SEC; Average: 8%

Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (26 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%

Georgia has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/319) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 57 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 15%.

Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Georgia is 8-1 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .620

Georgia is 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Matchup Notes for Georgia vs. Alabama

Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Georgia is 8-1 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .620

Georgia is 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Georgia has averaged a sack every 22.8 pass attempts (319 Pass Attempts/14 Sacks) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 12.4

Georgia has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 45 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long this season– best in the SEC; Average: 8%

Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (26 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%

Georgia has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/319) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 57 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 15%.

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia has averaged a sack every 22.8 pass attempts (319 Pass Attempts/14 Sacks) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 12.4

Georgia has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 45 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long this season– best in the SEC; Average: 8%

Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (26 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%

Georgia has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/319) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 57 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 15%.

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Georgia is 8-1 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .620

Georgia is 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

Georgia Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia has averaged a sack every 22.8 pass attempts (319 Pass Attempts/14 Sacks) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 12.4

Georgia has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 45 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long this season– best in the SEC; Average: 8%

Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (26 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%

Georgia has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (14/319) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 8%

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 57 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 15%.

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Georgia is 8-1 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .620

Georgia is 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .486

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