- Kansas is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Fresno St
- Fresno State vs. Kansas Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Fresno State (0-0) visit David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium to take on the Kansas (0-0) on Aug. 23 in Lawrence, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30pm EDT.
Kansas is a betting favorite in Week 0, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).
The Fresno State vs. Kansas Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Fresno State vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Fresno State | +13.5 -115 | 50.5 -110 | +400 |
| Kansas | -13.5 -105 | 50.5 -110 | -550 |
Fresno State vs Kansas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kansas will win this game with 76.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno St and Kansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Fresno State vs Kansas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 68.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Kansas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kansas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.75 Units / 69% ROI)
- Kansas have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 82% ROI)
- Kansas have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Kansas have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Fresno State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas
Fresno State was 6-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times in the 2024 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .574
Fresno State is 11-4 (.733) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .528
Fresno State is 12-3 (.800) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: .629
Fresno State is 11-4 (.733) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .556
Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
Kansas was 2-7 (.222) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .443
Kansas was 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2024 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .417
Kansas was 3-6 (.333) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .577
Kansas was 2-6 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2024 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .439
Matchup Notes for Fresno State vs. Kansas
Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.2% of 617 attempts since the 2023 season — 5th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas’s WRs gained 1,773 yards on 115 receptions (15.4 YPR) last season — T-best among Big 12 WRs. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas gained 2,505 yards on 176 receptions (14.2 YPR) last season — best among Big 12 skill players. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s RBs averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch last season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Kansas’s defense allowed 12.6 RAC last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s QBs has thrown for 6,704 passing yards in 26 games (257.8 YPG) since the 2023 season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 246.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs have 205.6 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 194.8 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State’s RBs averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch last season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Kansas’s defense allowed 12.6 RAC last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State RBs have been targeted 19 times in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Fresno State’s QBs has thrown for 6,704 passing yards in 26 games (257.8 YPG) since the 2023 season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 246.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State RBs have picked up first downs on 7 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Fresno State’s WRs have 205.6 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 20th-best among FBS WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 194.8 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.2% of 617 attempts since the 2023 season — 5th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas’s WRs gained 1,773 yards on 115 receptions (15.4 YPR) last season — T-best among Big 12 WRs. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7
Kansas Skill Players have averaged 15.0 yards per reception (5,626 yards/376 catches) since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.2
Kansas gained 2,505 yards on 176 receptions (14.2 YPR) last season — best among Big 12 skill players. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State allowed 14 rushing TDs on 96 carries (6.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4
Fresno State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 72 rushing attempts (1% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Fresno State allowed a Completion Pct of just 55% (255 completions/466 attempts) in the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Fresno State allowed just 10.8 receiving yards per game (141/13) to RBs in the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 25.1
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 55% (477 completions/865 attempts) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Kansas Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest in the Big 12; Average: 9%
Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%
Kansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs since the 2023 season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
Kansas allowed a Completion Pct of 82% (9 completions/11 attempts) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
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