Florida St vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

• Florida St is a -4.5 point favorite vs. NC State
• Florida State vs. North Carolina State Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN

Florida State (5-5) visit Carter-Finley Stadium to take on North Carolina State (5-5) on Nov. 21 in Raleigh, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.

Florida St is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Florida State vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 61.5 total points.

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Florida State vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Florida State vs North Carolina State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Florida State will win this game with 62.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida St and NC State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida State vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Florida State Best Bets Today

• Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.46 Units / 11% ROI)
• Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
• Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

North Carolina State Best Bets Today

• NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.62 Units / 25% ROI)
• NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.15 Units / 3% ROI)

Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida St is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Florida State is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -38.98% ROI
• Florida State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Florida State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

NC State iss 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.55 Units / -23.29% ROI).

• North Carolina State is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -15.92% ROI
• North Carolina State is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
• North Carolina State is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State

Florida State was 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Florida State was 1-5 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Florida State was winless (0-4) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Florida State is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .509

Matchup Notes for Florida State vs. North Carolina State

Florida State was 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Florida State was 1-5 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Florida State was winless (0-4) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Florida State is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .509

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida State was 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Florida State was 1-5 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Florida State was winless (0-4) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Florida State is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .509

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida State was 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Florida State was 1-5 (.167) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Florida State was winless (0-4) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Florida State is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .509

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