Florida St vs Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Florida head coach Billy Napier watches play during the first half of the NCAA college football team's annual Orange and Blue spring game, Thursday, April 13, 2023, in Gainesville, Fla.
(AP Photo/John Raoux)
  • Florida is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Florida St
  • Florida State vs. Florida Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

Florida State (5-6) visit Ben Hill Griffin Stadium to take on Florida (3-8) on Nov. 29 in Gainesville, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST.

Florida is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-102).

The Florida State vs. Florida Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Florida State vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida State+1.5 -11850.5 -110-110
Florida -1.5 -10250.5 -110-110

Florida State vs Florida Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Florida State will win this game with 56.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida St and Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.46 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.90 Units / 12% ROI)

Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida St is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.65 Units / -13.58% ROI).

  • Florida State is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.5 Units / -43.83% ROI
  • Florida State is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Florida State is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida iss 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI).

  • Florida is 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.7 Units / -65.55% ROI
  • Florida is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • Florida is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Florida

Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Florida allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (18 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.7

Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 35.7

Florida allowed 55 receptions for 20+ yards last season– most in the SEC

Florida defense allowed 55 completions for 20 or more yards last season– most in the SEC

Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,055 yards on 116 receptions (17.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida State has gained 2,801 yards on 183 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,055 yards on 116 receptions (17.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Florida State has gained 2,801 yards on 183 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — best among ACC skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,055 yards on 116 receptions (17.7 YPR) this season — best among ACC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Matchup Notes for Florida State vs. Florida

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,055 yards on 116 receptions (17.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida State has gained 2,801 yards on 183 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,055 yards on 116 receptions (17.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Florida State has gained 2,801 yards on 183 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — best among ACC skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,055 yards on 116 receptions (17.7 YPR) this season — best among ACC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Florida allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (18 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.7

Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 35.7

Florida allowed 55 receptions for 20+ yards last season– most in the SEC

Florida defense allowed 55 completions for 20 or more yards last season– most in the SEC

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Florida allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (18 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.7

Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 35.7

Florida allowed 55 receptions for 20+ yards last season– most in the SEC

Florida defense allowed 55 completions for 20 or more yards last season– most in the SEC

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,055 yards on 116 receptions (17.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida State has gained 2,801 yards on 183 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,055 yards on 116 receptions (17.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Florida State has gained 2,801 yards on 183 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — best among ACC skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,055 yards on 116 receptions (17.7 YPR) this season — best among ACC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Florida allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (18 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.7

Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 35.7

Florida allowed 55 receptions for 20+ yards last season– most in the SEC

Florida defense allowed 55 completions for 20 or more yards last season– most in the SEC

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,055 yards on 116 receptions (17.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida State has gained 2,801 yards on 183 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,055 yards on 116 receptions (17.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Florida State has gained 2,801 yards on 183 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — best among ACC skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,055 yards on 116 receptions (17.7 YPR) this season — best among ACC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.


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