Florida St vs Clemson Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

FILE - Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney runs onto the field before an NCAA college football game against North Carolina Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023, in Clemson, S.C. Clemson tries to end its worst season since 2010 with a five-game winning streak when it plays Kentucky in the Gator Bowl.(AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman,File)
(AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman)
  • Clemson is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Florida St
  • Florida State vs. Clemson Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

Florida State (4-4) visit Memorial Stadium to take on Clemson (3-5) on Nov. 8 in Clemson, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

Clemson is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Florida State vs. Clemson Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Florida State vs. Clemson Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida State+2.5 -11555.5 -105105
Clemson -2.5 -10555.5 -115-125

Florida State vs Clemson Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Clemson will win this game with 53.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida St and Clemson, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida State vs Clemson Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Clemson will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.52 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.09 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida St is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Florida State is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -50.8% ROI
  • Florida State is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Florida State is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Clemson iss 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.55 Units / -52% ROI).

  • Clemson is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.95 Units / -48.23% ROI
  • Clemson is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -15.82% ROI
  • Clemson is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.75 Units / 8.57% ROI

Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .632

Clemson was 5-2 (.714) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 19th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Clemson was 9-3 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State

Florida State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 194 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.6% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.

Florida State have gained 40+ yards on 12 of their 119 receptions (10%) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Florida State’s WRs has gained 1,316 yards on 73 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — best among Power 5 WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State has gained 1,883 yards on 119 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has gained 1,316 yards on 73 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Florida State vs. Clemson

Florida State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 194 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.6% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.

Florida State have gained 40+ yards on 12 of their 119 receptions (10%) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Florida State’s WRs has gained 1,316 yards on 73 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — best among Power 5 WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State has gained 1,883 yards on 119 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has gained 1,316 yards on 73 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .632

Clemson was 5-2 (.714) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 19th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Clemson was 9-3 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .632

Clemson was 5-2 (.714) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 19th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Clemson was 9-3 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 194 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.6% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.

Florida State have gained 40+ yards on 12 of their 119 receptions (10%) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Florida State’s WRs has gained 1,316 yards on 73 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — best among Power 5 WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State has gained 1,883 yards on 119 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has gained 1,316 yards on 73 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .632

Clemson was 5-2 (.714) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 19th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Clemson was 9-3 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

Clemson Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 194 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.6% of attempts this season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.

Florida State have gained 40+ yards on 12 of their 119 receptions (10%) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Florida State’s WRs has gained 1,316 yards on 73 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — best among Power 5 WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State has gained 1,883 yards on 119 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State’s WRs has gained 1,316 yards on 73 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.


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