Florida vs Mississippi Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

• Mississippi is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Florida
• Florida vs. Ole Miss Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN

Florida (3-6) visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium to take on Ole Miss (9-1) on Nov. 15 in University, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Florida vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Florida vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 78.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida and Mississippi, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Florida Best Bets Today

• Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 9% ROI)
• Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)
• Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)

Ole Miss Best Bets Today

• Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 11 games (+12.05 Units / 10% ROI)
• Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
• Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)

Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• Florida is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -61.9% ROI
• Florida is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
• Florida is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi iss 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.14% ROI).

• Ole Miss is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 32.85% ROI
• Ole Miss is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
• Ole Miss is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss

Florida opponents has averaged 7.2 Passing Attempts per TD (43 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 4.1

Florida opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Florida opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Florida allowed passes of 40+ yards on 20 of 325 attempts (6%) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%

Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Florida

Florida’s TEs has gained 287 yards on 34 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida’s TEs has 34 receptions in 8 games (4.2 per game) this season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida has gained 1,787 yards on 177 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) this season — T-11th-worst among FBS skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Florida vs. Ole Miss

Florida’s TEs has gained 287 yards on 34 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida’s TEs has 34 receptions in 8 games (4.2 per game) this season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida has gained 1,787 yards on 177 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) this season — T-11th-worst among FBS skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida opponents has averaged 7.2 Passing Attempts per TD (43 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 4.1

Florida opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Florida opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Florida allowed passes of 40+ yards on 20 of 325 attempts (6%) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida opponents has averaged 7.2 Passing Attempts per TD (43 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 4.1

Florida opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Florida opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Florida allowed passes of 40+ yards on 20 of 325 attempts (6%) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%

Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida’s TEs has gained 287 yards on 34 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida’s TEs has 34 receptions in 8 games (4.2 per game) this season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida has gained 1,787 yards on 177 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) this season — T-11th-worst among FBS skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida opponents has averaged 7.2 Passing Attempts per TD (43 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 4.1

Florida opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Florida opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Florida intercepted 3 of 325 attempts (108.3 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Florida allowed passes of 40+ yards on 20 of 325 attempts (6%) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%

Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida’s TEs has gained 287 yards on 34 receptions (just 8.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida’s TEs has 34 receptions in 8 games (4.2 per game) this season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida has gained 1,787 yards on 177 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) this season — T-11th-worst among FBS skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

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