- LSU is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Florida
- Florida vs. LSU Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
Florida (1-1) visit Tiger Stadium to take on LSU (2-0) on Sep. 13 in Baton Rouge, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
LSU is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Florida vs. LSU Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Florida vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida | +7.5 -110 | 47.5 -105 | 230 |
| LSU | -7.5 -110 | 47.5 -115 | -295 |
Florida vs LSU Prediction:
The winning team model predicts LSU will win this game with 71.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida and LSU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Florida vs LSU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 73.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Florida Best Bets Today
- Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+7.60 Units / 70% ROI)
- Florida have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
LSU Best Bets Today
- LSU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+3.20 Units / 1% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Florida is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -100% ROI
- Florida is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Florida is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
LSU iss 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- LSU is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 175% ROI
- LSU is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- LSU is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Florida: Keys to the Game vs. LSU
Florida was 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .628
Florida was 1-2 (.333) when in a one score game last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Florida is 9-2 (.818) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .646
Florida is 1-3 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .521
LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Florida
LSU was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668
LSU was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688
LSU was 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .657
LSU was 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Matchup Notes for Florida vs. LSU
LSU has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
LSU has 389 receptions in 15 games (25.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Power 5 skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 18.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among SEC defenses.
LSU’s WRs has 236 receptions in 15 games (15.7 per game) since the 2024 season — 20th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 18.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Florida’s WRs has averaged 15.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-8th-best among FBS WRs. LSU’s defense has allowed 14.4 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida’s WRs has averaged 15.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Power 5 WRs. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Florida has averaged 13.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida Skill Players have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Florida Skill Players have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Florida’s WRs has averaged 15.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-8th-best among FBS WRs. LSU’s defense has allowed 14.4 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida’s WRs has averaged 15.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Power 5 WRs. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Florida has averaged 13.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
LSU Offensive Stats & Trends
LSU has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among SEC skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
LSU has 389 receptions in 15 games (25.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Power 5 skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 18.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among SEC defenses.
LSU TEs have been targeted 8 times on 1st down this season– T-most among FBS Teams
LSU’s WRs has 236 receptions in 15 games (15.7 per game) since the 2024 season — 20th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 18.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-5th-worst among SEC defenses.
LSU TEs have been targeted 11 times this season– most among SEC Teams
Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (4 completions/11 attempts) this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
Florida allowed 55 receptions for 20+ yards last season– most in the SEC
Florida averaged 0.25 interceptions per game (3/12) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 0.87
Florida opponents averaged 7.8 Passing Attempts per TD (31 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
Florida opponents has averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (32 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0
LSU Defensive Stats & Trends
LSU has allowed 20 rushing TDs on just 57 carries (2.8 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 5.2
LSU allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (8 completions/26 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 54%
LSU allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (8 completions/26 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%
LSU allowed opponents to catch just 8 of 26 passes (31% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 54%
LSU allowed opponents to catch just 8 of 26 passes (31% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
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