Florida International vs Sam Houston St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Florida International is a -10 point favorite vs. Sam Houston St
  • Florida International vs. Sam Houston State Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Florida International (6-5) visit Shell Energy Stadium to take on Sam Houston State (2-9) on Nov. 29 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST.

Florida International is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -10 (-115).

The Florida International vs. Sam Houston State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Florida International vs. Sam Houston State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida International-10 -11551.5 -115-400
Sam Houston State +10 -10551.5 -105310

Florida International vs Sam Houston State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Florida International will win this game with 77.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida International and Sam Houston St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida International vs Sam Houston State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Sam Houston will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • FIU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • FIU have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Florida International have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Florida International has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+6.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)

Florida International Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida International is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • Florida International is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 8.17% ROI
  • Florida International is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Florida International is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Sam Houston State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Sam Houston St iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Sam Houston State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Sam Houston State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Sam Houston State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Florida International: Keys to the Game vs. Sam Houston State

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– best in FBS; Average: .602

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Sam Houston was 10-2 (.833) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Sam Houston is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .453

Sam Houston State: Keys to the Game vs. Florida International

Florida International did not record a sack (30 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

Florida International tackled opponents for a loss on just 45 of 492 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Florida International opponents averaged 7.5 Passing Attempts per TD (30 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Florida International opponents averaged 39.4 Passing Attempts per TD (355 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.3

Florida International has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 22 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Matchup Notes for Florida International vs. Sam Houston State

Florida International did not record a sack (30 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

Florida International tackled opponents for a loss on just 45 of 492 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Florida International opponents averaged 7.5 Passing Attempts per TD (30 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Florida International opponents averaged 39.4 Passing Attempts per TD (355 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.3

Florida International has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 22 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– best in FBS; Average: .602

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Sam Houston was 10-2 (.833) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Sam Houston is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .453

Florida International Offensive Stats & Trends

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– best in FBS; Average: .602

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Sam Houston was 10-2 (.833) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Sam Houston is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .453

Sam Houston State Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida International did not record a sack (30 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

Florida International tackled opponents for a loss on just 45 of 492 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Florida International opponents averaged 7.5 Passing Attempts per TD (30 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Florida International opponents averaged 39.4 Passing Attempts per TD (355 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.3

Florida International has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 22 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Florida International Defensive Stats & Trends

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– best in FBS; Average: .602

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Sam Houston was 10-2 (.833) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Sam Houston is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .453

Sam Houston State Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida International did not record a sack (30 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

Florida International tackled opponents for a loss on just 45 of 492 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Florida International opponents averaged 7.5 Passing Attempts per TD (30 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Florida International opponents averaged 39.4 Passing Attempts per TD (355 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.3

Florida International has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 22 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.


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