Florida International vs Connecticut Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

Connecticut head coach Jim Mora watches before an NCAA college football game against Michigan in Ann Arbor, Mich., Saturday, Sept. 17, 2022. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
  • Connecticut is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Florida International
  • Florida International vs. Connecticut Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

Florida International (2-2) visit Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field to take on Connecticut (3-2) on Oct. 4 in East Hartford, CT. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Connecticut is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Florida International vs. Connecticut Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Florida International vs. Connecticut Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida International+7.5 -11553.5 -110220
Connecticut -7.5 -10553.5 -110-275

Florida International vs Connecticut Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UConn will win this game with 70.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida International and Connecticut, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida International vs Connecticut Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida International will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Florida International have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Florida International has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Florida International has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Florida International have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+0.93 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Florida International has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • UConn have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)

Florida International Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida International is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • Florida International is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.45% ROI
  • Florida International is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Florida International is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Connecticut iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Connecticut is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Connecticut is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Connecticut is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Florida International: Keys to the Game vs. Connecticut

UConn was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

UConn was winless (0-7) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

UConn is 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .582

UConn was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Connecticut: Keys to the Game vs. Florida International

UConn has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 9 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

UConn has forced 5 fumbles on 576 carries (115.2 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2024 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 45.3

UConn allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (210 yards / 86 touches) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Matchup Notes for Florida International vs. Connecticut

UConn has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 9 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

UConn has forced 5 fumbles on 576 carries (115.2 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2024 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 45.3

UConn allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (210 yards / 86 touches) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UConn was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

UConn was winless (0-7) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

UConn is 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .582

UConn was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Florida International Offensive Stats & Trends

UConn was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

UConn was winless (0-7) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

UConn is 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .582

UConn was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Connecticut Offensive Stats & Trends

UConn has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 9 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

UConn has forced 5 fumbles on 576 carries (115.2 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2024 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 45.3

UConn allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (210 yards / 86 touches) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Florida International Defensive Stats & Trends

UConn was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

UConn was winless (0-7) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

UConn is 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .582

UConn was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Connecticut Defensive Stats & Trends

UConn has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 9 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

UConn has forced 5 fumbles on 576 carries (115.2 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2024 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 45.3

UConn allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (210 yards / 86 touches) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.


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