East Carolina vs UTSA Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

  • East Carolina is a -2.5 point favorite vs. UTSA
  • East Carolina vs. UTSA Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

East Carolina (7-3) visit Alamodome to take on UTSA (5-5) on Nov. 22 in San Antonio, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

East Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The East Carolina vs. UTSA Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

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East Carolina vs. UTSA Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina-2.5 -11062.5 -110-135
UTSA +2.5 -11062.5 -110115

East Carolina vs UTSA Prediction:

The winning team model predicts East Carolina will win this game with 57.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and UTSA, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

East Carolina vs UTSA Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.70 Units / 15% ROI)

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 24.55% ROI).

  • East Carolina is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 3.87% ROI
  • East Carolina is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • East Carolina is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTSA iss 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • UTSA is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -4.15% ROI
  • UTSA is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • UTSA is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 51 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 97 of 420 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

UTSA allowed 14.6 yards per completion (3,283 yards/225 completions) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 11.8

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 63 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina

UTSA was 1-2 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

UTSA was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .613

UTSA was 5-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .517

UTSA was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .533

Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. UTSA

UTSA was 1-2 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

UTSA was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .613

UTSA was 5-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .517

UTSA was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .533

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 51 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 97 of 420 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

UTSA allowed 14.6 yards per completion (3,283 yards/225 completions) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 11.8

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 63 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 51 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 97 of 420 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

UTSA allowed 14.6 yards per completion (3,283 yards/225 completions) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 11.8

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 63 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends

UTSA was 1-2 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

UTSA was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .613

UTSA was 5-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .517

UTSA was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .533

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends

UTSA has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 51 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 97 of 420 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

UTSA allowed 14.6 yards per completion (3,283 yards/225 completions) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 11.8

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 63 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends

UTSA was 1-2 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

UTSA was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .613

UTSA was 5-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .517

UTSA was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .533


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