- NC State is a -14 point favorite vs. East Carolina
- East Carolina vs. North Carolina State Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
The East Carolina (0-0) visit Carter-Finley Stadium to take on the North Carolina State (0-0) on Aug. 28 in Raleigh, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
NC State is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -14 (-110).
The East Carolina vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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East Carolina vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| East Carolina | +14 -110 | 61.5 -110 | +400 |
| North Carolina State | -14 -110 | 61.5 -110 | -550 |
East Carolina vs North Carolina State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this game with 74.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and NC State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
East Carolina vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 62.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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East Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 106% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)
North Carolina State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- NC State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- NC State have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.70 Units / 18% ROI)
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State
East Carolina was 8-5 (.615) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2024 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .443
East Carolina was 7-1 (.875) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2024 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .627
East Carolina is 5-10 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .531
East Carolina is 3-14 (.176) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– 11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .430
North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .459
North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .489
North Carolina State was 3-7 (.273) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2024 season– 15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .439
North Carolina State was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. North Carolina State
North Carolina State’s WRs had just 142.5 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. East Carolina’s defense allowed 176.8 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.
Wesley Grimes (NCST) had just 24.5 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-worst of Qualified ACC Wide Receivers. East Carolina’s defense allowed 176.8 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.
Hollywood Smothers (NCST) rushed for 10 or more yards on 22.5% of 89 carries last season — 5th-best of Qualified Power 5 Running Backs. East Carolina’s defense allowed 10+ yards on just 11.2% of carries last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs averaged 24.2 targets per game last season — 25th-highest among FBS WRs. North Carolina State’s defense allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs had 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. North Carolina State’s defense allowed just 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs had 197 receptions in 13 games (15.2 per game) last season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. North Carolina State’s defense allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina’s WRs averaged 24.2 targets per game last season — 25th-highest among FBS WRs. North Carolina State’s defense allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs had 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. North Carolina State’s defense allowed just 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-5th-best among ACC defenses.
East Carolina RBs have averaged 15.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (287 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.1
East Carolina Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 29.7 receptions (208 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5
East Carolina WRs averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (148 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State Skill Players had 20 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– T-most among FBS Teams
North Carolina State Skill Players caught 12 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– T-most among FBS Teams
North Carolina State RBs averaged 8.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (816 yards / 94 touches) in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
North Carolina State TEs had 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
North Carolina State TEs had 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2024 season– most among Power Conference Teams
East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 30 of 148 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
East Carolina allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2024 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
East Carolina allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2024 season– T-2nd-most in FBS
East Carolina has allowed 24 rushing TDs on 148 carries (6.2 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5
East Carolina sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (23/425) in the 2024 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 24 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
North Carolina State allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 12 of 34 carries (35%) on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%
North Carolina State tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 24 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 103 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
North Carolina State tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 63 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
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