East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

  • East Carolina is a -7 point favorite vs. Florida Atlantic
  • East Carolina vs. Florida Atlantic Total (Over/Under): 66.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

East Carolina (7-4) visit Flagler Credit Union Stadium to take on Florida Atlantic (4-7) on Nov. 29 in Boca Raton, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

East Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).

The East Carolina vs. Florida Atlantic Over/Under is 66.5 total points.

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East Carolina vs. Florida Atlantic Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina-7 -11566.5 -110-250
Florida Atlantic +7 -10566.5 -110200

East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic Prediction:

The winning team model predicts East Carolina will win this game with 65.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and Florida Atlantic, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 50.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 3% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.05 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.57 Units / 24% ROI)

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 13.22% ROI).

  • East Carolina is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 2.68% ROI
  • East Carolina is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • East Carolina is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida Atlantic iss 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • Florida Atlantic is 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -8.79% ROI
  • Florida Atlantic is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Florida Atlantic is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic

East Carolina RBs averaged 23.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (258 yards / 11 touches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2

East Carolina have thrown 3 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6

East Carolina have not been intercepted (63 pass attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 31.8

East Carolina’s WRs has 173 receptions in 11 games (15.7 per game) this season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 10.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina WRs averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (148 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina

Florida Atlantic WRs have averaged 23.2 receptions per game (232/10) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Florida Atlantic WRs have been targeted 35.0 times per game (350/10) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

Florida Atlantic WRs have been targeted 101 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Florida Atlantic has gained 3,776 yards on 353 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-11th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 5.1 RAC to RBs this season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic WRs have averaged 23.2 receptions per game (232/10) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Florida Atlantic WRs have been targeted 35.0 times per game (350/10) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

Florida Atlantic WRs have been targeted 101 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Florida Atlantic has gained 3,776 yards on 353 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-11th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 5.1 RAC to RBs this season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina RBs averaged 23.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (258 yards / 11 touches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2

East Carolina have thrown 3 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6

East Carolina have not been intercepted (63 pass attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 31.8

East Carolina’s WRs has 173 receptions in 11 games (15.7 per game) this season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 10.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina WRs averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (148 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina RBs averaged 23.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (258 yards / 11 touches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2

East Carolina have thrown 3 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6

East Carolina have not been intercepted (63 pass attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 31.8

East Carolina’s WRs has 173 receptions in 11 games (15.7 per game) this season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 10.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina WRs averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (148 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic WRs have averaged 23.2 receptions per game (232/10) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Florida Atlantic WRs have been targeted 35.0 times per game (350/10) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

Florida Atlantic WRs have been targeted 101 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Florida Atlantic has gained 3,776 yards on 353 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-11th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 5.1 RAC to RBs this season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina RBs averaged 23.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (258 yards / 11 touches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2

East Carolina have thrown 3 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6

East Carolina have not been intercepted (63 pass attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 31.8

East Carolina’s WRs has 173 receptions in 11 games (15.7 per game) this season — T-19th-best among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed just 10.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina WRs averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (148 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Florida Atlantic Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic WRs have averaged 23.2 receptions per game (232/10) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6

Florida Atlantic WRs have been targeted 35.0 times per game (350/10) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

Florida Atlantic WRs have been targeted 101 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Florida Atlantic has gained 3,776 yards on 353 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-11th-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 5.1 RAC to RBs this season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.


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