East Carolina vs Coastal Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

Coastal Carolina head coach Tim Beck looks on during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Virginia on Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024, in Conway, S.C. (AP Photo/Matt Kelley)
(AP Photo/Matt Kelley)
  • East Carolina is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Coastal Carolina
  • East Carolina vs. Coastal Carolina Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

East Carolina (1-1) visit Brooks Stadium to take on Coastal Carolina (1-1) on Sep. 13 in Conway, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

East Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The East Carolina vs. Coastal Carolina Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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East Carolina vs. Coastal Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina-7.5 -11056.5 -105-285
Coastal Carolina +7.5 -11056.5 -115230

East Carolina vs Coastal Carolina Prediction:

The winning team model predicts East Carolina will win this game with 65.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and Coastal Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

East Carolina vs Coastal Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 61.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.45 Units / 69% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • East Carolina is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • East Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • East Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Coastal Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Coastal Carolina iss 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Coastal Carolina is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Coastal Carolina

East Carolina was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .602

East Carolina was 7-1 (.875) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .628

East Carolina is 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .596

East Carolina was 7-1 (.875) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Coastal Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina

Coastal Carolina was winless (0-3) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Coastal Carolina was undefeated (5-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Coastal Carolina was winless (0-3) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424

Coastal Carolina is 1-4 (.200) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .482

Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. Coastal Carolina

Coastal Carolina’s WRs has 152 receptions in 15 games (just 10.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina has 213 receptions in 15 games (just 14.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 15th-worst among FBS skill players. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS skill players. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s RBs have just 11.1 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — 8th-worst among FBS RBs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 30.0 receiving yards per game to RBs since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Anthony Smith (ECU) has averaged 16.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-5th-best of Qualified Skill Players. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.2 RAC since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina RBs averaged 23.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (258 yards / 11 touches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2

East Carolina WRs have no touchdowns on 21 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

East Carolina TEs have 4 receptions in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

East Carolina TEs have been targeted 5 times in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

East Carolina TEs have 97 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Coastal Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina’s WRs has 152 receptions in 15 games (just 10.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina WRs have averaged 14.0 receptions per game (14/1) in the 2nd half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Coastal Carolina has 213 receptions in 15 games (just 14.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 15th-worst among FBS skill players. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina Skill Players have no touchdowns on 20 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

Coastal Carolina WRs have no touchdowns on 16 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 36 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 36 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 17 rushing attempts (47% TFL%) on 1st down this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.

East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 101 of 543 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) last season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 121 of 606 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) since the 2024 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Coastal Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina has not recorded a sack (36 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.2

Coastal Carolina has not recorded a sack (36 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4

Coastal Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 43 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) this season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Coastal Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 36 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Coastal Carolina had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.1


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