- Texas St is a -13.5 point favorite vs. E Michigan
- Eastern Michigan vs. Texas State Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Eastern Michigan (0-0) visit UFCU Stadium to take on the Texas State (0-0) on Aug. 30 in San Marcos, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Texas St is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).
The Eastern Michigan vs. Texas State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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Eastern Michigan vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Eastern Michigan | +13.5 -105 | 58.5 -110 | +400 |
| Texas State | -13.5 -115 | 58.5 -110 | -550 |
Eastern Michigan vs Texas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this game with 76.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both E Michigan and Texas St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Eastern Michigan vs Texas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Eastern Michigan will cover the spread with 68.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Eastern Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Eastern Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Eastern Michigan have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Texas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Eastern Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Texas State
Eastern Michigan was 1-4 (.200) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .474
Eastern Michigan is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
Eastern Michigan is 4-8 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .466
Eastern Michigan is 2-11 (.154) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .383
Texas State: Keys to the Game vs. Eastern Michigan
Texas State was 5-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble in the 2024 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .535
Texas State is 12-5 (.706) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .603
Texas State was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .616
Texas State is 9-5 (.643) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .531
Matchup Notes for Eastern Michigan vs. Texas State
Texas State’s RBs gained 440 yards on 46 receptions (9.6 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS RBs. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State had 298 receptions in 13 games (22.9 per game) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed just 16.4 receptions per game last season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas State’s RBs averaged 9.6 yards after the catch last season — T-28th-best among FBS RBs. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed 13.5 RAC last season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Eastern Michigan’s RBs had 0.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Eastern Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Eastern Michigan Skill Players averaged 18.7 yards per reception (598 yards/32 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Eastern Michigan WRs averaged 22.9 yards per reception (526 yards/23 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2024 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6
Eastern Michigan Kickers averaged 49.8 yards per kickoff (946 yards/19 kickoffs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.5
Eastern Michigan RBs have averaged 29.0 yards per reception (87 yards/3 catches) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.3
Eastern Michigan’s RBs had 0.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas State’s RBs gained 440 yards on 46 receptions (9.6 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS RBs. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State had 298 receptions in 13 games (22.9 per game) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed just 16.4 receptions per game last season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas State QBs rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter in the 2024 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Texas State’s RBs averaged 9.6 yards after the catch last season — T-28th-best among FBS RBs. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed 13.5 RAC last season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State RBs averaged 166.8 rushing yards per game (2,001/12) in the 2024 season– 12th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.1
Eastern Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends
Eastern Michigan did not record a sack (24 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.7
Eastern Michigan allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2024 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Eastern Michigan allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (17 completions/24 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Eastern Michigan allowed 16 rushing TDs on just 46 carries (2.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4
Eastern Michigan allowed opponents to catch 17 of 24 passes (71% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas State tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 17 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Texas State opponents averaged 32.7 Passing Attempts per TD (360 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the 2024 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.3
Texas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 190 of 943 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Texas State sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (33/360) in the 2024 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Texas State opponents averaged 5.4 Passing Attempts per TD (38 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
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